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Moreau Catholic (Hayward, CA)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Mariners
Colors: Green/Gold
Coach: Keith Minor
League: West Alameda County - Foothill
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 6
Playoff Division Rank*: #3

D1 PROSPECT
Lance Mitchell Jr. 6'2" 215 Senior WR

RATINGS
2024 Final Power Rating: 8.8
2024 National Rank: #3536
2024 State Rank: #240
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +2.3
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment*: -8.9
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: -2.6
2025 Starting Power Rating*: -5.5
2025 National Rank*: #3421
2025 State Rank*: #228
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2019-2024 Rating): -4.6
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #6422
2025 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 0.9
5-Year Dynasty Record: 25-26 (13-11 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2024 Rating): -0.5
Dynasty National Rank: #8212
2025 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 5
Dynasty Record: 109-127-1 (62-73 in league)

HISTORICAL
2024 Overall Record: 11-4
2024 League Record/Finish: 5-1 (2nd)
2024 Points For Average: 32.1
2024 Points Against Average: 21.4
2024 Differential: +10.7
2024 Wins: #4395 Ferndale (21-19), #6191 Del Norte (Crescent City) (14-7), #6256 San Leandro (37-33), #6558 Logan [James] (Union City) (26-22), #6628 Leland (San Jose) (42-11), #6979 Berkeley (26-14), #8110 Lindsay (42-8), #8689 St. Bernard's (Eureka) (49-14), #8898 Castro Valley (49-40), #9919 Tennyson (Hayward) (62-8), #10277 St. Mary's (Albany) (37-0)
2024 Losses: #1639 San Marin (Novato) (34-12), #1957 Bishop O'Dowd (Oakland) (35-9), #3647 Salesian College Prep (Richmond) (41-27), #6030 Livermore (35-28)
2024 Opponents W-L: 104-73
Recent Section/State Championships: 2024 (7), 2024 (Bowl 7-AA)
Recent League Championships: 2018 (Mission Valley), 2017 (Mission Valley), 2015 (tied for 1st; Mission Valley)
Winning Streak Entering 2025 Season: 6
Streak List: 11/8/24 Tennyson (Hayward) (62-8), 11/15/24 St. Bernard's (Eureka) (49-14), 11/22/24 Del Norte (Crescent City) (14-7), 11/30/24 Ferndale (21-19), 12/6/24 Leland (San Jose) (42-11), 12/13/24 Lindsay (42-8)

SCHEDULE
2025 Schedule: 8/29 at Hayward, 9/6 Salesian College Prep (Richmond), 9/12 San Marin (Novato), 9/19 Balboa (San Francisco), 9/27 Berkeley, 10/3 Logan [James] (Union City), 10/9 at Castro Valley, 10/17 San Leandro, 10/24 Bishop O'Dowd (Oakland), 11/7 Tennyson (Hayward)
Highest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: San Marin (Novato) (13.2), Bishop O'Dowd (Oakland) (2.3), Salesian College Prep (Richmond) (-9.8)
Lowest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: Tennyson (Hayward) (-43.6), Castro Valley (-31.8), Berkeley (-28.7)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.6 (-6.7 overall)
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -18.3
2025 vs. 2024 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -15.7
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #318
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #4651
2025 Projected Regular Season Record*: 7-3
2025 Projected League Finish*: 2nd
2025 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: 1%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 7th






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