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Grace (Simi Valley, CA)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Black
Coach: Tom Coate
League: Citrus Coast
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: none

RATINGS
2024 Final Power Rating: -16.2
2024 National Rank: #8291
2024 State Rank: #558
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: -2.6
2025 Starting Power Rating*: -27.6
2025 National Rank*: #8099
2025 State Rank*: #542
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2019-2024 Rating): -23.8
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #10460
2025 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 3.8
5-Year Dynasty Record: 13-8 (3-0 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2024 Rating): 14
Dynasty National Rank: #4052
2025 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 41.6
Dynasty Record: 157-74 (50-22 in league)

HISTORICAL
2024 Overall Record: 7-4
2024 League Record/Finish: 3-0 (1st)
2024 Points For Average: 43.3
2024 Points Against Average: 26.3
2024 Differential: +17
2024 Wins: #9497 Ridgeview (Bakersfield) (22-21), #10475 Arrowhead Christian (Redlands) (63-22), #10740 Santa Rosa Academy (Menifee) (42-6), #12127 Nordhoff (Ojai) (58-22), #12434 Carpinteria (48-0), #13702 Glenn [John] (Norwalk) (49-12), #13720 Channel Islands (Oxnard) (59-7)
2024 Losses: #3803 Oak Park (52-26), #5473 Brentwood (Los Angeles) (48-41), #6808 San Gorgonio (San Bernardino) (47-29), #7915 Amador (Sutter Creek) (52-39)
2024 Opponents W-L: 57-60
Recent Section/State Championships: 2018 (4), 2018 (Bowl 2-AA), 2017 (8), 2004 (XII)
Recent League Championships: 2024, 2019 (Camino), 2018 (Camino), 2017 (Tri-Valley), 2016 (Tri-Valley), 2015 (Frontier), 2014 (Frontier), 2010 (Frontier), 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha)
Winning Streak Entering 2025 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2025 Schedule: 8/22 at Santa Paula, 8/29 Arrowhead Christian (Redlands), 9/5 El Camino Real (Woodland Hills), 9/12 Fillmore, 9/19 at Brentwood (Los Angeles), 10/10 Carpinteria, 10/17 at Nordhoff (Ojai), 10/24 Channel Islands (Oxnard), 10/31 at Santa Clara (Oxnard)
Highest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: Brentwood (Los Angeles) (-10.1), Santa Paula (-21), Fillmore (-35)
Lowest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: Channel Islands (Oxnard) (-85.1), Carpinteria (-60.2), Nordhoff (Ojai) (-50.4)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -25.9 (-27.2 overall)
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -39.6
2025 vs. 2024 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -13.7
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #587
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #7939
2025 Projected Regular Season Record*: 6-3
2025 Projected League Finish*: 1st
2025 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 7th