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El Modena (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Vanguards
Colors: Cardinal/Gold
Coach: Matt Mitchell
League: Delta
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: none

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 2
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Logan Honikel 6'3" 190 Senior FS/WR
Andrew Alvarez 5'10" 255 Senior DL/OL
Sam Jackett 6'0" 165 Senior CB/WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Senior Leadership
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience

RATINGS
2024 Final Power Rating: 29
2024 National Rank: #1149
2024 State Rank: #95
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: -11.5
Historical Reload/Regression Factor*: +11.1
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment*: -3
2025 Starting Power Rating*: 9.4
2025 National Rank*: #1733
2025 State Rank*: #143
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2019-2024 Rating): 25.8
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #1246
2025 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 16.4
5-Year Dynasty Record: 38-16 (10-7 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2024 Rating): 15.5
Dynasty National Rank: #3701
2025 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 6.1
Dynasty Record: 113-126-1 (27-66-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2024 Overall Record: 9-3
2024 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (3rd)
2024 Points For Average: 36.7
2024 Points Against Average: 24.4
2024 Differential: +12.3
2024 Wins: #936 Thousand Oaks (41-34), #1747 Newport Harbor (Newport Beach) (55-35), #1808 Santa Barbara (28-21), #2466 Trabuco Hills (Mission Viejo) (30-7), #3092 Western (Anaheim) (56-27), #3406 Colony (Ontario) (42-27), #4330 Segerstrom (Santa Ana) (49-24), #4663 Cypress (28-14), #6976 Mission College Prep (San Luis Obispo) (48-21)
2024 Losses: #816 Tustin (34-28), #936 Thousand Oaks (21-14), #1408 Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo) (28-21)
2024 Opponents W-L: 66-68-1
Recent Section Championships: 2017 (7)
Recent League Championships: 2023 (North Hills), 2022 (North Hills), 2017 (North Hills), 2016 (North Hills), 2015 (tied for 1st; North Hills)
Winning Streak Entering 2025 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2025 Schedule: 8/22 at Troy (Fullerton), 8/29 at Dana Hills (Dana Point), 9/5 at Newport Harbor (Newport Beach), 9/12 at Crean Lutheran (Irvine), 9/19 San Pedro, 10/3 at Trabuco Hills (Mission Viejo), 10/10 Western (Anaheim), 10/17 at Tustin, 10/23 Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo), 10/30 at Cypress
Highest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: Crean Lutheran (Irvine) (35.5), Tustin (32.2), Newport Harbor (Newport Beach) (16.5)
Lowest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: San Pedro (-6.7), Cypress (-5.8), Troy (Fullerton) (-0.1)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.7 (18.6 overall)
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: 9.8
2025 vs. 2024 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -9.9
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #88
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #722
2025 Projected Regular Season Record*: 5-5
2025 Projected League Finish*: 2nd
2025 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%




*temporary; not finalized until August 7th






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