South Fayette (McDonald, PA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lions
Colors: Green/White
Coach: Marty Spieler
League: WPIAL AAAAA Allegheny Six
Playoff Division: AAAAA
Playoff Division Rank*: #16

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 9
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2024 JV Record: 8-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Drew Welhorsky 6'2" 195 Senior QB
Anthony Charles 6'5" 190 Senior DE
Tyson Wright 6'3" 200 Senior HB/OLB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: OL Returns Intact, Skill Position Depth
Team Weaknesses: ILB Inexperience, Lost DPOY DE To Graduation

RATINGS
2024 Final Power Rating: 16.6
2024 National Rank: #2406
2024 State Rank: #84
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +5.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +2.1
2025 Starting Power Rating*: 13.4
2025 National Rank*: #1573
2025 State Rank*: #57
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2019-2024 Rating): 18.9
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2032
2025 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 5.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 23-26 (7-18 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2024 Rating): 29.8
Dynasty National Rank: #1161
2025 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 16.4
Dynasty Record: 189-62 (122-37 in league)

HISTORICAL
2024 Overall Record: 6-5
2024 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th)
2024 Points For Average: 20.8
2024 Points Against Average: 19.6
2024 Differential: +1.2
2024 Wins: #3032 Canon-McMillan (Canonsburg) (13-10), #3420 Belle Vernon (27-14), #4067 Elizabeth Forward (Elizabeth) (38-19), #5012 Shaler Area (Pittsburgh) (28-6), #7440 Chartiers Valley (Bridgeville) (26-0), #9081 Baldwin (Pittsburgh) (38-0)
2024 Losses: #248 Peters Township (McMurray) (38-3), #318 Upper St. Clair (17-7), #503 Bethel Park (35-14), #1275 Penn-Trafford (Harrison City) (49-28), #1654 Moon Area (Moon Township) (28-7)
2024 Opponents W-L: 67-55
Recent State Championships: 2014 (AA), 2013 (AA)
Recent League Championships: 2019 (WPIAL AAAA Northwest Eight), 2018 (WPIAL 4A Northwest Eight), 2017 (WPIAL 4A Northwest Nine), 2016 (WPIAL 4A 1), 2015 (WPIAL AA Century), 2014 (WPIAL AA Century), 2013 (WPIAL AA Century), 2012 (WPIAL AA Century), 2010 (WPIAL AA Century), 2009 (WPIAL AA Century)
Winning Streak Entering 2025 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2025 Schedule: 8/22 Chartiers Valley (Bridgeville), 8/29 Shaler Area (Pittsburgh), 9/5 Canon-McMillan (Canonsburg), 9/12 Elizabeth Forward (Elizabeth), 9/19 Belle Vernon, 9/26 Baldwin (Pittsburgh), 10/3 Upper St. Clair, 10/10 Peters Township (McMurray), 10/17 Bethel Park, 10/24 Moon Area (Moon Township)
Highest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: Peters Township (McMurray) (43.4), Upper St. Clair (40.7), Bethel Park (26.6)
Lowest-Rated 2025 Regular Season Opponents*: Baldwin (Pittsburgh) (-39.2), Chartiers Valley (Bridgeville) (-21.1), Shaler Area (Pittsburgh) (-7.2)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.4 (17.3 overall)
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: 7.4
2025 vs. 2024 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -12
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #33
2025 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #197
2025 Projected Regular Season Record*: 6-4
2025 Projected League Finish*: 5th
2025 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%




*temporary; not finalized until August 7th






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