Vance County (Henderson, NC)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Aaron Elliott
League: 2A/3A Northern Lakes
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #32

D1 PROSPECT
Taeshawn Alston 6'3" 235 Senior Edge

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -1.1
2023 National Rank: #5825
2023 State Rank: #142
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.1
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -14.2
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +2.3
2024 Starting Power Rating: -14.2
2024 National Rank: #4993
2024 State Rank: #115
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -7.8
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #7565
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.3
5-Year Dynasty Record: 34-14 (19-7 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): -8.9
Dynasty National Rank: #10728
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.2
Dynasty Record: 38-21 (22-10 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 10-1
2023 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 38.1
2023 Points Against Average: 11.6
2023 Differential: +26.5
2023 Wins: #4186 Southern (Durham) (14-12), #8136 Orange (Hillsborough) (28-19), #8834 South Granville (Creedmoor) (14-0), #9560 Louisburg (29-3), #10854 Northern (Durham) (35-0), #11308 Roanoke Rapids (52-14), #11434 Webb [J. F.] (Oxford) (61-6), #11621 Warren County (Warrenton) (22-8), #12104 Carrboro (49-14), #13381 Granville Central (Stem) (88-18)
2023 Losses: #4646 Sanford [Terry] (Fayetteville) (34-27)
2023 Opponents W-L: 45-75
Recent League Championships: 2023
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at Warren County (Warrenton), 8/30 at Rocky Mount, 9/6 at Orange (Hillsborough), 9/13 Northern (Durham), 9/20 at Southern (Durham), 9/27 at Louisburg, 10/11 at South Granville (Creedmoor), 10/25 at Carrboro, 11/1 at Webb [J. F.] (Oxford)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Southern (Durham) (1.5), Rocky Mount (-20.9), Orange (Hillsborough) (-31.3)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Carrboro (-57), Warren County (Warrenton) (-51.9), Webb [J. F.] (Oxford) (-50.9)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -25.8 (-20.7 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -36.2
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -10.4
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #319
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10207
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-2
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 7%



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