Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine, FL)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Zach Harbison
League: 6A District 3 (moving from 4S District 4)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #28

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 15.9
2023 National Rank: #2831
2023 State Rank: #180
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +3.3
2024 Starting Power Rating: 2.3
2024 National Rank: #2500
2024 State Rank: #170
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 4.2
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4718
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 0.2
5-Year Dynasty Record: 14-14 (2-4 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 4.2
Dynasty National Rank: #7012
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 0.2
Dynasty Record: 14-14 (2-4 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 5-5
2023 League Record/Finish: 1-2 (3rd)
2023 Points For Average: 24.1
2023 Points Against Average: 25.9
2023 Differential: -1.8
2023 Wins: #1917 Beachside (St. Johns) (38-34), #2324 Eustis (21-7), #3144 Flagler Palm Coast (Palm Coast) (29-28), #4253 Palatka (24-19), #4269 Menendez [Pedro] (St. Augustine) (34-13)
2023 Losses: #514 Ponte Vedra (38-6), #2011 Nease [Allen D.] (Ponte Vedra) (47-27), #2240 Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) (23-20), #3258 Matanzas (Palm Coast) (20-14), #3935 Clay (Green Cove Springs) (30-28)
2023 Opponents W-L: 62-45
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at First Coast (Jacksonville), 8/30 Westside (Jacksonville), 9/6 Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville), 9/13 Clay (Green Cove Springs), 9/27 at Bartram Trail (St. Johns), 10/4 Beachside (St. Johns), 10/11 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville), 10/18 at Menendez [Pedro] (St. Augustine), 10/25 Nease [Allen D.] (Ponte Vedra), 11/1 Oakleaf (Orange Park)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (45.3), Bartram Trail (St. Johns) (36.5), Beachside (St. Johns) (22)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Westside (Jacksonville) (-31.3), Clay (Green Cove Springs) (-7.3), Menendez [Pedro] (St. Augustine) (-4.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.5
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -6.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #92
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #831
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2024 Projected League Finish: 4th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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