Thurston (Springfield, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Colts
Colors: Black/Red
Coach: Justin Starck
League: 5A Special District 4 (moving from 5A Special District 2)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 0.4
2023 National Rank: #5400
2023 State Rank: #27
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +3.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: -11.8
2024 National Rank: #4615
2024 State Rank: #22
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 17.8
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2303
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 28.1
5-Year Dynasty Record: 45-8 (29-0 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 15.2
Dynasty National Rank: #3893
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 25.5
Dynasty Record: 140-81 (94-40 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 8-3
2023 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 40.4
2023 Points Against Average: 22.8
2023 Differential: +17.6
2023 Wins: #7548 Dallas (37-24), #7599 Springfield (34-13), #9681 Eagle Point (47-6), #10224 Churchill (Eugene) (48-28), #10585 Crater (Central Point) (64-21), #12202 North Eugene (Eugene) (48-14), #12884 South Eugene (Eugene) (42-0), #13185 Willamette (Eugene) (63-6)
2023 Losses: #1392 Wilsonville (44-15), #1392 Wilsonville (49-21), #3980 Summit (Bend) (46-25)
2023 Opponents W-L: 62-52
Recent State Championships: 2019, 2018
Recent League Championships: 2023 (5A Special District 2), 2022 (5A Special District 2), 2021, 2020, 2019 (5A Special District 2 North), 2018 (5A Special District 2 North), 2009 (5A Midwestern), 2008 (5A Midwestern), 2007 (tied for 1st; 5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/6 at South Eugene (Eugene), 9/13 at Eagle Point, 9/20 Springfield, 9/27 at Roseburg, 10/3 Churchill (Eugene), 10/10 at Crater (Central Point), 10/25 North Eugene (Eugene), 11/1 at Willamette (Eugene)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Springfield (-22.9), Churchill (Eugene) (-33.6), Crater (Central Point) (-35.2)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Willamette (Eugene) (-65), North Eugene (Eugene) (-56.6), South Eugene (Eugene) (-55)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.1 (-10.7 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -44.2
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -24.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #94
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11664
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-0
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 66%



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