Thomas-Fay-Custer (Thomas, OK)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Terriers
Colors: Green/White
Coach: Bob Ward
League: A-II District 1 (moving from A District 1)
Playoff Division: A-II
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -24
2023 National Rank: #10176
2023 State Rank: #185
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +2.1
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -7.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: -33.9
2024 National Rank: #8608
2024 State Rank: #154
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -17.3
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #9647
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 14.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 29-29 (18-15 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 0.9
Dynasty National Rank: #7998
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 32.7
Dynasty Record: 158-86 (97-46 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 5-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (4th)
2023 Points For Average: 24.2
2023 Points Against Average: 25.2
2023 Differential: -1
2023 Wins: #11015 Texhoma/Goodwell (Texhoma) (21-0), #11572 Sayre (40-16), #12540 Merritt (Elk City) (30-16), #12734 Watonga (19-12), #13628 Burns Flat-Dill City (Burns Flat) (42-7)
2023 Losses: #1411 Fairview (56-20), #3602 Hooker (21-7), #4694 Alva (39-14), #6992 Apache (50-31), #9801 Mooreland (22-12), #11224 Cashion (38-30)
2023 Opponents W-L: 64-62
Recent State Championships: 2014 (A)
Recent League Championships: 2020 (A District 1), 2019 (tied for 1st; A District 1), 2017 (A District 1), 2014 (A District 1), 2012 (A District 2), 2011 (A District 1), 2010 (A District 1), 2004 (tied for 1st; 1A District 2), 2003 (1A District 2)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/6 at Sayre, 9/13 Watonga, 9/20 Hinton, 9/27 at Carnegie, 10/4 Cordell, 10/11 at Apache, 10/17 at Texhoma/Goodwell (Texhoma), 10/25 Southwest Covenant (Yukon), 11/1 Mangum, 11/8 at Mooreland
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Apache (-21.6), Mangum (-27.4), Mooreland (-32.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Cordell (-88.9), Carnegie (-70), Watonga (-57.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24.4 (-19.4 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -47
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22.6
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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