St. Sebastian's (Needham, MA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Arrows
Colors: Black/Red
Coach: Bob Souza
League: Independent School ISL-7
State (Plays In): Prep Schools
Playoff Division: NEPSAC A
Playoff Division Rank: #17

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 6.3
2023 National Rank: #4366
2023 State Rank: #78 (in MA)
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -6.2
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +2.6
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.4
2024 Starting Power Rating: -12.2
2024 National Rank: #4685
2024 State Rank: #90 (in MA)
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 4.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4664
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 14.6
5-Year Dynasty Record: 19-15 (10-12 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 9.2
Dynasty National Rank: #5509
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 19.3
Dynasty Record: 91-70-2 (76-66-2 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 5-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th)
2023 Points For Average: 28.1
2023 Points Against Average: 21.3
2023 Differential: +6.8
2023 Wins: #5216 Milton Academy (Milton) (28-23), #5762 Governor's Academy (Byfield) (35-7), #7690 Thayer Academy (Braintree) (35-12), #8332 Noble & Greenough (Dedham) (35-7), #9756 New Hampton School (New Hampton, NH) (34-0)
2023 Losses: #2147 Buckingham Browne & Nichols (Cambridge) (38-7), #2524 Belmont Hill (Belmont) (36-23), #2953 Lawrence Academy (Groton) (31-28), #4164 Tabor Academy (Marion) (38-28)
2023 Opponents W-L: 45-32
Recent League Championships: 2022 (tied for 1st), 2018 (tied for 1st), 2012 (tied for 1st; Independent School)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: 1
Streak List: 11/11/23 Thayer Academy (Braintree) (35-12)

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/7 Dexter Southfield (Brookline), 9/14 New Hampton School (New Hampton, NH), 9/21 at Belmont Hill (Belmont), 9/28 Lawrence Academy (Groton), 10/5 at Milton Academy (Milton), 10/11 at Tabor Academy (Marion), 10/18 Buckingham Browne & Nichols (Cambridge), 10/26 at Roxbury Latin (West Roxbury), 11/1 Governor's Academy (Byfield), 11/9 at Thayer Academy (Braintree)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Buckingham Browne & Nichols (Cambridge) (12.6), Belmont Hill (Belmont) (12.4), Lawrence Academy (Groton) (-6.4)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: New Hampton School (New Hampton, NH) (-45.1), Roxbury Latin (West Roxbury) (-31), Thayer Academy (Braintree) (-20.7)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.7
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.9
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.6
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #78
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4534
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2024 Projected League Finish: 5th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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