St. Mary's (Albany, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Red/White
League: Tri-County - Rock (moving from Tri-County - Stone)
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 6
Playoff Division Rank: #6

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -6.5
2023 National Rank: #6950
2023 State Rank: #475
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -0.4
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.9
2024 Starting Power Rating: -24.7
2024 National Rank: #6948
2024 State Rank: #473
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -15.6
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #9281
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 7
5-Year Dynasty Record: 25-22 (10-8 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 1.7
Dynasty National Rank: #7769
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 24.3
Dynasty Record: 122-103 [121-104 on the field] (69-40 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 6-5
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 27.7
2023 Points Against Average: 16.2
2023 Differential: +11.5
2023 Wins: #5670 Moreau Catholic (Hayward) (20-2), #10359 St. Patrick-St. Vincent (Vallejo) (42-14), #10773 Arroyo (San Lorenzo) (42-8), #10783 Kennedy [John F.] (Richmond) (42-12), #13403 Hercules (48-8), #13597 Richmond (57-6)
2023 Losses: #1278 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (34-0), #5159 Salesian (Richmond) (18-14), #5159 Salesian (Richmond) (21-13), #6017 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (31-14), #6074 Vallejo (24-13)
2023 Opponents W-L: 69-55
Recent Section Championships: 2013 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2022 (Tri-County - Stone), 2020 (tied for 1st; Tri-County - Stone), 2015, 2003 (tied for 1st; Bay Shore)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Moreau Catholic (Hayward), 9/7 Hercules, 9/13 at St. Patrick-St. Vincent (Vallejo), 9/21 Arroyo (San Lorenzo), 9/27 vs Kennedy [John F.] (Fremont), 10/12 El Cerrito, 10/19 De Anza (El Sobrante), 10/25 at Pinole Valley (Pinole), 11/2 at Salesian (Richmond), 11/9 Vallejo
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: El Cerrito (20.5), Moreau Catholic (Hayward) (-15.1), Salesian (Richmond) (-16.9)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Hercules (-75.4), De Anza (El Sobrante) (-47.7), Pinole Valley (Pinole) (-46.4)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -17.2 (-13.8 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -30.3
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -13.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #593
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8939
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 4th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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