South Umpqua (Myrtle Creek, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Kevin Hubbard
League: 3A Special District 4 (moving from 3A Special District 3)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -11.4
2023 National Rank: #7890
2023 State Rank: #50
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -6.8
2024 Starting Power Rating: -39.2
2024 National Rank: #9527
2024 State Rank: #71
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -8.4
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #7696
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 28.7
5-Year Dynasty Record: 34-17 (21-9 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): -10.9
Dynasty National Rank: #11237
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 26.2
Dynasty Record: 90-114 [89-115 on the field] (47-65 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 8-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 6-3 (4th)
2023 Points For Average: 30.5
2023 Points Against Average: 17.9
2023 Differential: +12.6
2023 Wins: #7870 Lakeview (20-0), #8308 Kennedy [John F.] (Mt. Angel) (22-21), #10066 Coquille (10-0), #11976 St. Mary's (Medford) (76-7), #12295 Sutherlin (48-14), #12607 Douglas (Winston) (47-22), #13196 Brookings-Harbor (Brookings) (47-19), #13469 Phoenix (48-0)
2023 Losses: #3609 Cascade Christian (Medford) (41-12), #4882 Banks (42-7), #7870 Lakeview (28-16), #8731 North Valley (Grants Pass) (21-13)
2023 Opponents W-L: 74-49
Recent League Championships: 2021 (3A Special District 2 - South)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/6 St. Mary's (Medford), 9/13 at Elmira, 9/20 at Klamath Union (Klamath Falls), 9/27 North Valley (Grants Pass), 10/4 Mapleton/Siuslaw (Mapleton), 10/11 at Coquille, 10/18 Brookings-Harbor (Brookings), 10/25 Douglas (Winston), 11/1 at Sutherlin
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: North Valley (Grants Pass) (-30.3), Coquille (-40.4), Elmira (-48.8)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Brookings-Harbor (Brookings) (-74.3), Klamath Union (Klamath Falls) (-69.1), Sutherlin (-60.5)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -30 (-20.4 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -48.8
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -18.8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #112
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #12274
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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