South County (Lorton, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Stallions
Colors: Forest Green/Silver/Navy
League: District 4
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #16

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 16.2
2023 National Rank: #2785
2023 State Rank: #51
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +2.1
2024 Starting Power Rating: 1.5
2024 National Rank: #2606
2024 State Rank: #55
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 29.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #961
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 26.1
5-Year Dynasty Record: 55-9 (25-2 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 27.1
Dynasty National Rank: #1570
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 23.5
Dynasty Record: 154-74 [153-75 on the field] (85-34 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 9-3
2023 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 28.8
2023 Points Against Average: 14.8
2023 Differential: +14
2023 Wins: #1831 Lake Braddock (Burke) (28-20), #3157 West Springfield (Springfield) (14-9), #3328 Fairfax (50-7), #5639 West Potomac (Alexandria) (22-18), #5639 West Potomac (Alexandria) (32-17), #6430 Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax) (39-0), #6981 Hayfield (Alexandria) (53-9), #8698 Woodson [W. T.] (Fairfax) (56-13), #10168 Alexandria City (Alexandria) (32-0)
2023 Losses: #998 Quince Orchard (Gaithersburg, MD) (33-0), #1106 Madison [James] (Vienna) (21-14), #3328 Fairfax (30-6)
2023 Opponents W-L: 79-60
Recent State Championships: 2019
Recent League Championships: 2023, 2022 (tied for 1st), 2020, 2019, 2018 (tied for 1st), 2015 (6A Conference 7), 2014 (tied for 1st; 6A Conference 7), 2011 (tied for 1st; AAA Patriot)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax), 9/7 at Quince Orchard (Gaithersburg, MD), 9/13 West Springfield (Springfield), 9/20 Fairfax, 9/27 at Hayfield (Alexandria), 10/4 Madison [James] (Vienna), 10/10 at Alexandria City (Alexandria), 10/25 Woodson [W. T.] (Fairfax), 11/2 Lake Braddock (Burke), 11/8 at West Potomac (Alexandria)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Quince Orchard (Gaithersburg, MD) (26.3), Madison [James] (Vienna) (14.4), Lake Braddock (Burke) (10.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Woodson [W. T.] (Fairfax) (-35.3), Alexandria City (Alexandria) (-34), Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax) (-22.4)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.9 (6.2 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7.1
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #53
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3291
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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