Skyline (Front Royal, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Hawks
Colors: Green/Blue/Gold
Coach: Heath Gilbert
League: Northwestern
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #35

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -14.5
2023 National Rank: #8472
2023 State Rank: #208
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -2.7
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.2
2024 Starting Power Rating: -32.9
2024 National Rank: #8420
2024 State Rank: #200
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -8.4
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #7696
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 22.4
5-Year Dynasty Record: 22-27-1 (18-14 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): -3.3
Dynasty National Rank: #9189
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 27.5
Dynasty Record: 79-98-1 (40-46 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 4-7
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-5 (tied for 7th)
2023 Points For Average: 22.1
2023 Points Against Average: 30.3
2023 Differential: -8.2
2023 Wins: #9316 Meridian (Falls Church) (34-20), #9882 Fauquier (Warrenton) (27-20), #10542 Warren County (Front Royal) (43-0), #13534 Manassas Park (57-6)
2023 Losses: #2133 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (37-0), #2957 Kettle Run (Nokesville) (47-7), #2957 Kettle Run (Nokesville) (56-6), #4166 Millbrook (Winchester) (55-21), #4844 Strasburg (18-16), #6689 Liberty (Bealeton) (33-19), #7602 Wood [James] (Winchester) (41-13)
2023 Opponents W-L: 64-56
Recent League Championships: 2020 (tied for 1st), 2012 (AA Northwestern), 2011 (tied for 1st; AA Northwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/29 at Strasburg, 9/13 Wood [James] (Winchester), 9/20 Millbrook (Winchester), 9/27 Kettle Run (Nokesville), 10/4 at Fauquier (Warrenton), 10/11 at Manassas Park, 10/18 at Liberty (Bealeton), 10/25 at Meridian (Falls Church), 11/1 Brentsville District (Nokesville), 11/8 Warren County (Front Royal)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Kettle Run (Nokesville) (6.6), Brentsville District (Nokesville) (3.2), Millbrook (Winchester) (-13.7)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Manassas Park (-73.9), Warren County (Front Royal) (-57.2), Wood [James] (Winchester) (-39)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.4 (-5.1 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -27.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -21
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #221
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8145
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2024 Projected League Finish: 9th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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