Shallowater (TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Black/Red
League: 3A-1 Region I District 1 (moving from 3A-1 Region I District 2)
Playoff Division: 3A-1
Playoff Division Rank: #37

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Kasen Long 6'6" 250 Senior IOL

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 8.9
2023 National Rank: #3906
2023 State Rank: #490
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.8
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -2.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: -10.9
2024 National Rank: #4452
2024 State Rank: #525
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 17.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2348
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 26.3
5-Year Dynasty Record: 42-17 (20-3 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 24.9
Dynasty National Rank: #1875
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 33.7
Dynasty Record: 171-80 (81-30 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 6-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (tied for 2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 29.7
2023 Points Against Average: 21.5
2023 Differential: +8.2
2023 Wins: #3572 Muleshoe (27-19), #3600 Idalou (36-15), #4874 Greenwood (Midland) (38-28), #7346 Pecos (45-3), #9996 River Road (Amarillo) (56-0), #10907 Slaton (52-0)
2023 Losses: #1057 Bushland (35-3), #1597 Monahans (48-7), #1909 Seminole (35-30), #2214 Clyde (26-21), #3359 Hereford (28-27), #4210 Dalhart (21-14)
2023 Opponents W-L: 88-55
Recent League Championships: 2022 (3A-1 Region I District 2), 2021, 2020, 2018 (3A-1 Region I District 2), 2017, 2015 (3A-1 Region I District 2), 2014 (3A-1 Region I District 2), 2013 (3A Region I District 2), 2012 (3A Region I District 2), 2003 (2A Region I District 4)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 Monahans, 9/6 Seminole, 9/13 at Clyde, 9/20 at Greenwood (Midland), 9/27 Idalou, 10/4 at Canadian, 10/11 at Pecos, 10/25 Bushland, 11/1 at River Road (Amarillo), 11/8 Dalhart
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Canadian (28.2), Bushland (20.2), Monahans (18.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: River Road (Amarillo) (-45.1), Pecos (-25.6), Dalhart (-16.8)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.7 (5.2 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.7
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -18.4
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #425
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2509
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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