Ryan [Billy] (Denton, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Raiders
Colors: Navy/Red/White
Coach: Dave Henigan
League: 5A-1 Region I District 3
Playoff Division: 5A-1
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2023 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Braeden Mussett 6'1" 190 Senior ATH
Ty Haywood 6'5" 290 Senior T
Errol West 6'0" 250 Junior DE

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECTS
Marcus Garcia 6'5" 270 Senior OT
Dillon Arkansas 6'1" 190 Senior LB

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Tre Bates 6'2" 280 Senior DL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, Defensive Front 7, OL
Team Weaknesses: DB Inexperience/Youth, Must Find QB

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 44.7
2023 National Rank: #357
2023 State Rank: #62
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +9.3
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: -0.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: 44.8
2024 National Rank: #164
2024 State Rank: #29
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 53.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #78
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 10.7
5-Year Dynasty Record: 56-10 (34-4 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 54.7
Dynasty National Rank: #54
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.9
Dynasty Record: 226-52 (119-21 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 8-3
2023 League Record/Finish: 6-2 (tied for 2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 33.9
2023 Points Against Average: 14.6
2023 Differential: +19.3
2023 Wins: #377 Northwest (Justin) (28-14), #896 Lake Belton (Temple) (38-13), #981 Centennial (Burleson) (35-14), #1215 New Braunfels (27-24), #2744 Brewer (Fort Worth) (28-6), #3194 Azle (49-7), #5546 Saginaw (40-0), #10136 South Hills (Fort Worth) (68-0)
2023 Losses: #19 Aledo (25-19), #261 Abilene (31-21), #1429 The Colony (27-20)
2023 Opponents W-L: 70-56
Recent State Championships: 2020 (5A-I)
Recent League Championships: 2021 (5A-1 Region II District 5), 2020 (5A-1 Region II District 5), 2019 (5A-1 Region I District 4), 2018 (5A-1 Region I District 4), 2017 (5A Region I District 5), 2016 (5A Region I District 5), 2015 (6A Region I District 5), 2011 (4A Region I District 4), 2010 (4A Region I District 4), 2009 (tied for 1st; 4A Region I District 5), 2006 (tied for 1st; 4A Region I District 5), 2003 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Eaton [V. R.] (Fort Worth), 9/5 Timberview (Arlington), 9/12 at Fossil Ridge (Keller), 9/26 Granbury, 10/4 at Aledo, 10/11 Richland (North Richland Hills), 10/18 at Azle, 10/25 Denton, 11/1 at Brewer (Fort Worth), 11/8 Birdville (North Richland Hills)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Aledo (66.9), Richland (North Richland Hills) (33.2), Timberview (Arlington) (21.5)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Granbury (-21), Denton (-19), Azle (-0.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 23.3 (29.2 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.6
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11.7
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #157
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #827
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 3%