Rochester (Rochester Hills, MI)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Royal Blue/White
Coach: Erik Vernon
League: Oakland - White
Playoff Division: 1
Playoff Division Rank: #23

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 9
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
2023 JV Record: 5-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jack Lower 6'1" 225 Senior RB/LB
Zack Davis 6'1" 205 TE/LB
Adam Glinski 5'11" 210 OL/DL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Running Game, Depth, Senior Class
Team Weaknesses: Passing Game

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 1.2
2023 National Rank: #5261
2023 State Rank: #147
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +10.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -11.7
2024 Starting Power Rating: -2.5
2024 National Rank: #3145
2024 State Rank: #80
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 4.8
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4615
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.2
5-Year Dynasty Record: 21-24 (17-10 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 5.5
Dynasty National Rank: #6612
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.9
Dynasty Record: 62-128 (50-91 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 3-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (4th)
2023 Points For Average: 17.7
2023 Points Against Average: 27.3
2023 Differential: -9.6
2023 Wins: #6354 Farmington (33-7), #6861 Bloomfield Hills (21-14), #8660 Walled Lake Northern (Commerce) (31-10)
2023 Losses: #247 Southfield Arts & Tech (Southfield) (25-13), #728 Harper Woods (56-26), #1560 Adams (Rochester) (35-0), #2503 Stoney Creek (Rochester Hills) (35-7), #2826 Groves [Wylie E.] (Beverly Hills) (42-7), #4659 Utica (22-21)
2023 Opponents W-L: 47-47
Recent League Championships: 2020 (Oakland - Blue)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: 1
Streak List: 10/20/23 Walled Lake Northern (Commerce) (31-10)

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/29 Fraser, 9/6 Adams (Rochester), 9/13 at Southfield Arts & Tech (Southfield), 9/20 Groves [Wylie E.] (Beverly Hills), 9/27 Oxford, 10/4 at Stoney Creek (Rochester Hills), 10/11 Harper Woods, 10/18 at Berkley, 10/25 at Walled Lake Northern (Commerce)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Harper Woods (28.6), Southfield Arts & Tech (Southfield) (21.5), Groves [Wylie E.] (Beverly Hills) (10.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Berkley (-73.6), Fraser (-39.4), Walled Lake Northern (Commerce) (-35.5)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -9.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -23.2
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #79
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3746
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 5th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%