GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Orange/Green
Coach: Toby Bullock
League: 6A District 2 (moving from 4M District 1)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #1
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2023 JV Record: 4-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Tramell Jones 6'1" 195 Senior QB
Jaime Ffrench 6'1" 185 Senior WR
Drake Stubbs 6'1.5" 180 Senior DB
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jon Mitchell 6'0" 175 Senior CB
Deryc Plazz 6'3.5" 290 Senior IOL
Antoine Belgrave-Shorter 6'0" 180 Senior CB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Passing Game, RB Depth, Improved Defensive Front 7 Speed/Strength
Team Weaknesses: Only 5 Returning Starters
RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 52.8
2023 National Rank: #164
2023 State Rank: #15
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +11.9
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +2.6
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +2.1
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2024 Starting Power Rating: 50.6
2024 National Rank: #98
2024 State Rank: #9
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 33.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #692
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 16
5-Year Dynasty Record: 31-24 (9-6 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 29.3
Dynasty National Rank: #1280
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 20.2
Dynasty Record: 116-110 (39-39 in league)
HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 11-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 2-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 35.2
2023 Points Against Average: 19.4
2023 Differential: +15.8
2023 Wins: #215 Seminole (Sanford) (28-24), #245 Lake Mary (36-10), #426 Bolles (Jacksonville) (42-35), #692 Monarch (Coconut Creek) (51-21), #992 Winter Park (29-16), #1241 Riverside (Jacksonville) (50-20), #1684 Fletcher [Duncan U.] (Neptune Beach) (43-21), #2294 Fleming Island (Orange Park) (56-19), #3209 Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) (30-0), #5850 Sandalwood (Jacksonville) (43-0), #8214 Westside (Jacksonville) (49-6)
2023 Losses: #100 Columbus [Christopher] (Miami) (38-19), #245 Lake Mary (34-16), #313 Bartram Trail (St. Johns) (24-14), #739 Creekside (Jacksonville) (23-22)
2023 Opponents W-L: 108-69
Recent State Championships: 2018 (8A)
Recent League Championships: 2023 (4M District 1), 2022 (4M District 1), 2018 (8A District 1), 2015 (8A District 1), 2008 (tied for 1st; 6A District 1), 2004 (6A District 1)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 Creekside (St. Johns), 8/30 Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville), 9/6 Sandalwood (Jacksonville), 9/13 Bradford (Starke), 9/20 IMG Academy (Bradenton), 9/27 at First Coast (Jacksonville), 10/4 Rockledge, 10/11 Fletcher [Duncan U.] (Neptune Beach), 10/25 Oakleaf (Orange Park), 10/31 St. Augustine
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: IMG Academy (Bradenton) (86.6), St. Augustine (50), Bradford (Starke) (33.1)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Sandalwood (Jacksonville) (-18.7), Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) (-3), First Coast (Jacksonville) (8.8)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.3 (35.4 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 25.3
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #11
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #195
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%