GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Trent Dilfer
League: Division II-AAA East
Playoff Division: II-AAA
Playoff Division Rank: #3
D1 PROSPECTS
CJ Jimcoily 6'3" 205 Senior S
Amir Leonard-Jean Charles 6'4" 305 Senior DL
Jon Adair 6'5" 265 Senior IOL
Chauncey Gooden 6'4" 320 Senior IOL
Antonio Carter Jr. 6'2" 265 Senior DL
Tav Shaffer 6'1" 195 Senior QB
Kris Thompson 6'0" 215 Senior LB
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Kaleb Beasley 6'0" 185 Senior CB
Edwin Spillman 6'2" 215 Senior LB
Dillon Lorick 6'1" 180 Senior WR
RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 41.7
2023 National Rank: #478
2023 State Rank: #10
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +12.3
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: -0.5
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +1.9
2024 Starting Power Rating: 43.6
2024 National Rank: #184
2024 State Rank: #4
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 45.8
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #197
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 49-16 [50-15 on the field] (20-4 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 29.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1220
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 13.6
Dynasty Record: 189-78 [190-77 on the field] (90-23 in league)
HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 4-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 3rd)
2023 Points For Average: 23.7
2023 Points Against Average: 25.2
2023 Differential: -1.5
2023 Wins: #64 McCallie (Chattanooga) (34-28), #881 Knoxville Catholic (Knoxville) (33-10), #1118 Ensworth (Nashville) (24-10), #1296 Brentwood Academy (Brentwood) (24-17)
2023 Losses: #7 IMG Academy (Bradenton, FL) (35-10), #107 Saraland (AL) (31-30), #156 Baylor (Chattanooga) (34-31), #319 Christian Brothers (St. Louis, MO) (48-21), #756 Bell Academy [Montgomery] (Nashville) (14-6), #4031 Briarcrest Christian (Eads) (forfeit loss)
2023 Opponents W-L: 84-40
Recent State Championships: 2022 (II-AA), 2021 (II-AA), 2007 (3A)
Recent League Championships: 2022 (Division II-AA Middle), 2021 (Division II-AA Middle), 2020 (Division II-AA Middle), 2016 (4A Region 6), 2015 (tied for 1st; 4A Region 6), 2014 (tied for 1st; AA District 10), 2008 (3A Region 5), 2007 (3A Region 5), 2006 (3A Region 5), 2005 (3A Region 5), 2004 (2A Region 4), 2003 (2A Region 4)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: 3
Streak List: 10/13/23 Knoxville Catholic (Knoxville) (33-10), 10/20/23 Brentwood Academy (Brentwood) (24-17), 10/27/23 McCallie (Chattanooga) (34-28)
SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/22 First Academy (Orlando, FL), 8/29 vs Thompson (Alabaster, AL), 9/6 Briarcrest Christian (Eads), 9/13 Baylor (Chattanooga), 9/20 at Ensworth (Nashville), 10/4 at Christian Brothers (St. Louis, MO), 10/11 Bell Academy [Montgomery] (Nashville), 10/18 Knoxville Catholic (Knoxville), 10/25 at Brentwood Academy (Brentwood), 11/1 at McCallie (Chattanooga), 11/9 Hun (Princeton, NJ)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Thompson (Alabaster, AL) (61.5), McCallie (Chattanooga) (52.3), Baylor (Chattanooga) (50.4)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Briarcrest Christian (Eads) (-9.7), First Academy (Orlando, FL) (-6.4), Ensworth (Nashville) (15.4)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 43.2
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.6
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -13.6
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #123
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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