GENERAL
Nickname: Abes
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Masaki Matsumoto
League: 3A Puget Sound (moving from 3A Pierce County)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #14
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Brandon Ervin 5'11" 170 Senior CB
RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 13.8
2023 National Rank: #3124
2023 State Rank: #43
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.6
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.9
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +0.9
2024 Starting Power Rating: -2
2024 National Rank: #3058
2024 State Rank: #43
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 20.6
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #1932
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.6
5-Year Dynasty Record: 38-13 (27-2 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 20.8
Dynasty National Rank: #2547
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.8
Dynasty Record: 149-70 (100-32 in league)
HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 7-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 5-1 (2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 27.5
2023 Points Against Average: 18.8
2023 Differential: +8.7
2023 Wins: #4165 Auburn Riverside (Auburn) (14-6), #4356 Bonney Lake (42-28), #6176 Spanaway Lake (Spanaway) (24-7), #6224 Lakes (Lakewood) (28-20), #6714 Stadium (Tacoma) (42-9), #7628 Auburn (56-22), #10281 Silas (Tacoma) (55-13)
2023 Losses: #753 Tualatin (OR) (17-14), #1058 Eastside Catholic (Sammamish) (40-0), #1806 Camas (21-7), #2208 Mount Tahoma (Tacoma) (24-20)
2023 Opponents W-L: 73-46
Recent League Championships: 2022 (3A Pierce County), 2021 (3A Pierce County), 2019 (3A Pierce County), 2017 (3A Pierce County), 2016 (tied for 1st; 3A Pierce County), 2015 (3A Narrows), 2014 (3A Narrows), 2013 (tied for 1st; 3A Narrows)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/6 at Timberline (Lacey), 9/13 Yelm, 9/20 Camas, 9/27 Gig Harbor, 10/4 at Mount Tahoma (Tacoma), 10/11 at Silas (Tacoma), 10/18 Bellarmine Prep (Tacoma), 10/25 at Central Kitsap (Silverdale)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Yelm (21.2), Camas (12.2), Mount Tahoma (Tacoma) (10.5)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Silas (Tacoma) (-36.4), Central Kitsap (Silverdale) (-30.2), Bellarmine Prep (Tacoma) (-12.8)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 7.7 (7.8 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.9
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.6
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #39
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3256
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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