Katy (TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Red/White
Coach: Gary Joseph
League: 6A Region III District 19
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #50

D1 PROSPECTS
Byron Nelson 6'2.5" 295 Senior IOL
Patrick McMath 6'4" 255 Senior IOL

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Dakyus Brinkley 6'3" 220 Senior Edge
Coen Echols 6'2.5" 315 Senior IOL
Luke Carter 6'3" 245 Senior TE
Jed Olotu-Judah 6'0" 185 Senior S

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 40.9
2023 National Rank: #513
2023 State Rank: #85
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.8
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +7.1
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.9
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -6.3
2024 Starting Power Rating: 29.2
2024 National Rank: #541
2024 State Rank: #91
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 61.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #32
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 36.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 64-6 (33-1 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 67
Dynasty National Rank: #7
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 41.8
Dynasty Record: 279-27 (136-3 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 10-2
2023 League Record/Finish: 8-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 43.5
2023 Points Against Average: 15.9
2023 Differential: +27.6
2023 Wins: #477 Clear Springs (League City) (34-22), #1384 Tompkins (Katy) (41-7), #1812 Jordan (Fulshear) (42-35), #2320 Travis (Richmond) (49-6), #2833 Cinco Ranch (Katy) (42-13), #3568 Taylor [James E.] (Katy) (49-3), #4697 Morton Ranch (Katy) (54-14), #4813 Paetow (Katy) (31-7), #6012 Seven Lakes (Katy) (66-7), #6081 Mayde Creek (Houston) (59-7)
2023 Losses: #51 Atascocita (Humble) (42-34), #840 Cy-Fair (Cypress) (28-21)
2023 Opponents W-L: 70-63
Recent State Championships: 2020 (6A-II), 2015 (6A-II), 2012 (5A-II), 2008 (5A-II), 2007 (5A-II), 2003 (5A-II)
Recent League Championships: 2023, 2022, 2021, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013 (5A Region III District 19), 2012 (5A Region III District 19), 2011 (5A Region III District 19), 2010 (5A Region III District 19), 2009 (5A Region III District 17), 2007 (5A Region III District 18), 2006 (5A Region III District 18), 2005 (5A Region III District 19), 2004 (5A Region III District 19), 2003 (5A Region III District 19)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Dickinson, 9/6 Atascocita (Humble), 9/14 at Morton Ranch (Katy), 9/20 Cinco Ranch (Katy), 9/26 at Seven Lakes (Katy), 10/10 Taylor [James E.] (Katy), 10/18 at Jordan (Fulshear), 10/24 Paetow (Katy), 11/1 at Tompkins (Katy), 11/8 Mayde Creek (Houston)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Atascocita (Humble) (55.5), Dickinson (45), Tompkins (Katy) (15.8)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Mayde Creek (Houston) (-19.6), Seven Lakes (Katy) (-18.2), Morton Ranch (Katy) (-11.7)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22 (21.2 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.7
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16.3
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #250
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1342
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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