Jefferson (GA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Dragons
Colors: Blue/Red
Coach: Travis Noland
League: AAA Region 8 (moving from AAAAA Region 8)
Playoff Division: AAA
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2023 JV Record: 5-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Gavin Markey 6'3" 200 Senior QB
Ty Oglesby 6'3" 285 Senior C
Kelan Butler 6'4" 220 Senior DE

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Sammy Brown 6'2" 230 Senior LB
Brian Senter 6'3" 285 Senior IOL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, Special Teams
Team Weaknesses: Lost Elite Player To Graduation

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 51.1
2023 National Rank: #198
2023 State Rank: #25
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +3.4
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -6.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: 45.2
2024 National Rank: #159
2024 State Rank: #21
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 40.3
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #349
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 0.2
5-Year Dynasty Record: 52-9 (27-1 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 28
Dynasty National Rank: #1433
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 12.5
Dynasty Record: 198-56-1 (102-19 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 13-1
2023 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 38
2023 Points Against Average: 11.4
2023 Differential: +26.6
2023 Wins: #706 Hiram (42-21), #784 Harris County (Hamilton) (35-12), #783 Eastside (Covington) (35-0), #1562 Flowery Branch (41-13), #1658 Clarke Central (Athens) (22-14), #1884 Alpharetta (34-17), #1928 St. Pius X Catholic (Atlanta) (42-0), #1947 Oconee County (Watkinsville) (44-7), #2079 Wren (Piedmont, SC) (30-14), #2452 Jackson [Maynard H.] (Atlanta) (48-14), #3077 Loganville (56-20), #4120 Heritage (Conyers) (42-0), #4348 Winder-Barrow (Winder) (44-0)
2023 Losses: #121 Creekside (Fairburn) (28-17)
2023 Opponents W-L: 87-74
Recent State Championships: 2012 (AA)
Recent League Championships: 2023 (AAAAA Region 8), 2022 (AAAAA Region 8), 2020 (AAAA Region 8), 2019, 2016 (AAAA Region 8), 2015 (tied for 1st), 2014, 2012 (AA Region 8), 2009 (8-AA), 2008 (8-AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/16 at Marist (Atlanta), 8/23 at Jackson County (Jefferson), 8/30 Clarke Central (Athens), 9/6 Stephens County (Toccoa), 9/13 at North Oconee (Bogart), 9/27 West Hall (Oakwood), 10/4 at Monroe Area (Monroe), 10/11 East Hall (Gainesville), 10/25 Cherokee Bluff (Flowery Branch), 11/1 at Oconee County (Watkinsville)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Marist (Atlanta) (45.9), North Oconee (Bogart) (36.4), Stephens County (Toccoa) (23.9)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: East Hall (Gainesville) (-33.7), West Hall (Oakwood) (-23.5), Cherokee Bluff (Flowery Branch) (-7.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 24.3 (28.1 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 7.8
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16.5
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #135
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1136
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 15%