Independence (Ashburn, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: R.J. Windows
League: Potomac
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #14

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2023 JV Record: 8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jackson Thorne 6'1" 225 RB/LB 4.6
Justin Jordan 5'11" 175 WR/DB 4.52
Nick Nassib 6'0" 175 QB 4.8

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: 15 Returning Starters, Depth

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -0.2
2023 National Rank: #5627
2023 State Rank: #127
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: -5
2024 National Rank: #3545
2024 State Rank: #77
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 5.4
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4485
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.3
5-Year Dynasty Record: 24-26 (10-8 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 5.4
Dynasty National Rank: #6639
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.3
Dynasty Record: 24-26 (10-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 4-7
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 13.9
2023 Points Against Average: 27.8
2023 Differential: -13.9
2023 Wins: #2136 Briar Woods (Ashburn) (9-6), #5411 Stafford (Falmouth) (19-7), #5742 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (21-20), #6529 Riverside (Leesburg) (22-21)
2023 Losses: #903 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (43-10), #2020 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (42-13), #2593 Riverbend (Fredericksburg) (41-16), #2901 Massaponax (Spotsylvania) (35-14), #3920 Lightridge (Aldie) (27-15), #4400 Brooke Point (Stafford) (36-14), #5599 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (28-0)
2023 Opponents W-L: 66-56
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Massaponax (Spotsylvania), 9/6 Tuscarora (Leesburg), 9/13 at Brooke Point (Stafford), 9/20 Stafford (Falmouth), 10/4 Woodgrove (Purcellville), 10/10 at Lightridge (Aldie), 10/18 Riverside (Leesburg), 10/25 at Stone Bridge (Ashburn), 10/31 at Potomac Falls (Sterling), 11/8 Briar Woods (Ashburn)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (30.7), Tuscarora (Leesburg) (14.9), Massaponax (Spotsylvania) (4.5)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Potomac Falls (Sterling) (-22.1), Riverside (Leesburg) (-18.9), Stafford (Falmouth) (-9.5)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11 (11.5 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12.4
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #18
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2290
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2024 Projected League Finish: 4th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%