Fossil Ridge (Fort Collins, CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Sabercats
Colors: Forest Green/Black/White
Coach: Chris Tedford
League: 5A Front Range - North
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #24

D1 PROSPECT
Marcus Mozer 6'3.5" 200 Senior WR

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Gage Ginther 6'5.5" 285 Senior IOL

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 1.5
2023 National Rank: #5188
2023 State Rank: #58
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.2
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -31.5
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +1.7
2024 Starting Power Rating: -10.9
2024 National Rank: #4452
2024 State Rank: #45
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 4.1
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4748
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 44.4
5-Year Dynasty Record: 24-26 (14-11 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 4.8
Dynasty National Rank: #6829
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 45.1
Dynasty Record: 77-125 (51-69 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 5-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 29.7
2023 Points Against Average: 27.5
2023 Differential: +2.2
2023 Wins: #2995 Windsor (35-30), #3253 Arvada West (Arvada) (42-28), #6871 Rocky Mountain (Fort Collins) (24-7), #8235 Poudre (Fort Collins) (42-16), #12132 Boulder (42-0)
2023 Losses: #1370 Grandview (Aurora) (38-13), #2202 Castle View (Castle Rock) (35-16), #2779 Fairview (Boulder) (55-28), #4448 Loveland (28-26), #5181 Brighton (32-28), #7551 Fort Collins (34-31)
2023 Opponents W-L: 62-61
Recent League Championships: 2021 (tied for 1st; 5A North)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 Loveland, 9/6 Rock Canyon (Highlands Ranch), 9/12 at Columbine (Littleton), 9/19 at Regis Jesuit (Aurora), 9/26 Fort Collins, 10/4 at Legacy (Broomfield), 10/10 Rocky Mountain (Fort Collins), 10/18 at Prairie View (Henderson), 10/25 at Fairview (Boulder), 11/1 at Brighton
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Columbine (Littleton) (42.9), Regis Jesuit (Aurora) (13.4), Legacy (Broomfield) (9.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Prairie View (Henderson) (-33.1), Rocky Mountain (Fort Collins) (-31), Fort Collins (-20.3)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.2 (4.6 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.7
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.9
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #27
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2674
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 1-9
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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