Fort Morgan (CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Maroon/Black
Coach: Ty Davies
League: 3A North 1 (moving from 3A Metro Northeast)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #16

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -16.6
2023 National Rank: #8907
2023 State Rank: #115
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +4
2024 Starting Power Rating: -28.7
2024 National Rank: #7656
2024 State Rank: #87
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 2.9
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #5005
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 29.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 28-22 (14-9 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 8.5
Dynasty National Rank: #5712
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 35.1
Dynasty Record: 129-96 (78-53 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 2-8
2023 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (4th)
2023 Points For Average: 19.1
2023 Points Against Average: 26.8
2023 Differential: -7.7
2023 Wins: #11636 Kennedy [John F.] (Denver) (34-0), #13256 Lincoln [Abraham] (Denver) (42-0)
2023 Losses: #1310 Holy Family (Broomfield) (49-7), #2360 Lutheran (Parker) (35-6), #3994 Roosevelt (Johnstown) (42-21), #4687 Northfield (Denver) (39-17), #6236 Frederick (30-19), #6734 Brush (20-17), #7363 Conifer (18-7), #7685 Pueblo County (Pueblo) (35-21)
2023 Opponents W-L: 67-45
Recent State Championships: 2021
Recent League Championships: 2015 (3A Colorado 7), 2008 (3A Tri-Valley), 2007 (3A Tri-Valley)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at Pueblo East (Pueblo), 8/30 at Brush, 9/5 at Lutheran (Parker), 9/20 at Skyview (Thornton), 9/27 Eaton, 10/11 at Mountain View (Loveland), 10/18 at Roosevelt (Johnstown), 10/24 Thompson Valley (Loveland), 11/1 at Pomona (Arvada), 11/8 at Severance
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Thompson Valley (Loveland) (-3.1), Lutheran (Parker) (-3.4), Roosevelt (Johnstown) (-6.2)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Skyview (Thornton) (-49.3), Mountain View (Loveland) (-24.9), Severance (-24.6)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.4
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -18.2
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12.8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #52
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5754
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2024 Projected League Finish: 6th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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