Fordyce (AR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Redbugs
Colors: Black/Red
Coach: Mack Harden
League: 3A Region 8 (moving from 3A Region 6)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #12

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Carmilo Allen 6'2.5" 255 Senior DL

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -5.4
2023 National Rank: #6728
2023 State Rank: #93
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.7
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -31.8
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -0.3
2024 Starting Power Rating: -23.1
2024 National Rank: #6652
2024 State Rank: #95
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 4.8
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4615
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 25.8
5-Year Dynasty Record: 51-17 (21-4 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 10.3
Dynasty National Rank: #5194
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 31.3
Dynasty Record: 151-101-1 (89-46 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 6-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 27.5
2023 Points Against Average: 20.4
2023 Differential: +7.1
2023 Wins: #5371 Monticello (35-12), #8903 Barton (Lexa) (29-28), #10208 Rison (42-7), #11027 Drew Central (Monticello) (47-14), #12291 Lakeside (Lake Village) (42-6), #13045 Gurdon (37-0)
2023 Losses: #2869 Arkadelphia (47-21), #3023 Prescott (7-6), #3023 Prescott (17-0), #3612 Glen Rose (Malvern) (38-7), #4893 Harmony Grove (Camden) (29-28), #10129 Magnet Cove (Malvern) (40-36)
2023 Opponents W-L: 82-59
Recent State Championships: 2020 (2A), 2019 (2A)
Recent League Championships: 2021 (2A Region 8), 2020 (2A Region 8), 2016 (3A Region 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 Monticello, 9/6 at Magnet Cove (Malvern), 9/13 Mineral Springs, 9/27 Barton (Lexa), 10/4 at Drew Central (Monticello), 10/11 at Palestine-Wheatley (Palestine), 10/18 Lakeside (Lake Village), 10/25 at Dumas, 11/1 Rison, 11/8 at McGehee
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Monticello (-15.9), Mineral Springs (-21.9), McGehee (-27.3)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Lakeside (Lake Village) (-63.8), Palestine-Wheatley (Palestine) (-57.2), Drew Central (Monticello) (-49.8)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.1 (-11.5 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -38.6
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -35.5
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #154
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10772
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 7%



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