Fitch (Groton, CT)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Scarlet/Gray
Coach: Jordan Panucci
League: Eastern Connecticut I
Playoff Division: MM
Playoff Division Rank: #9

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 3.7
2023 National Rank: #4789
2023 State Rank: #34
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -2.3
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -28.4
2024 Starting Power Rating: -10
2024 National Rank: #4295
2024 State Rank: #35
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 1.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #5283
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 38
5-Year Dynasty Record: 29-12 (12-3 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 8.9
Dynasty National Rank: #5579
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 45.2
Dynasty Record: 118-89 (43-36 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 9-2
2023 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 35.8
2023 Points Against Average: 21.4
2023 Differential: +14.4
2023 Wins: #6016 Killingly (37-29), #9428 New London (34-21), #9525 Hillhouse [James] (New Haven) (51-13), #9867 East Lyme (34-17), #9953 Norwich Free Academy (Norwich) (34-28), #10660 Ledyard (33-0), #11318 Thames River co-op [Norwich RVT/Grasso RVT/St. Bernard] (Norwich) (26-7), #11368 Waterford (41-7), #11370 Woodstock Academy (Woodstock) (54-14)
2023 Losses: #803 North Haven (58-28), #803 North Haven (41-22)
2023 Opponents W-L: 64-53
Recent League Championships: 2023, 2022 (tied for 1st), 2021, 2017, 2011 (tied for 1st; Eastern Connecticut - Large), 2005 (ECC Large)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/13 Guilford, 9/20 at Cheshire, 9/27 at Simsbury, 10/4 at East Lyme, 10/17 Norwich Free Academy (Norwich), 10/25 Killingly, 11/1 at Windham (Willimantic), 11/8 New London, 11/15 at Stonington, 11/28 Ledyard
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Cheshire (-1.1), Guilford (-3.8), Killingly (-7.7)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Simsbury (-38.3), Norwich Free Academy (Norwich) (-36.4), Stonington (-34.6)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -16.2 (-7.9 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24.3
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -8.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #63
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7342
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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