GENERAL
Nickname: Rebels
Colors: Blue/Gray/Black
Coach: Trey Taylor
League: District 4
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #18
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Kristopher Jones 6'2" 220 Senior LB
RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 12.5
2023 National Rank: #3328
2023 State Rank: #66
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.4
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -36.4
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +2.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: -1.9
2024 National Rank: #3045
2024 State Rank: #63
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 9.6
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #3658
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 45.9
5-Year Dynasty Record: 36-18 (14-13 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 8
Dynasty National Rank: #5869
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 44.3
Dynasty Record: 96-120 (45-79 in league)
HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 9-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (4th)
2023 Points For Average: 31.8
2023 Points Against Average: 20.8
2023 Differential: +11
2023 Wins: #2785 South County (Lorton) (30-6), #5639 West Potomac (Alexandria) (35-7), #6332 Edison [Thomas A.] (Alexandria) (32-20), #6430 Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax) (36-14), #7231 Centreville (Clifton) (40-14), #8698 Woodson [W. T.] (Fairfax) (42-21), #8805 Oakton (Vienna) (41-0), #10166 Wakefield (Arlington) (52-20), #10168 Alexandria City (Alexandria) (49-14)
2023 Losses: #1831 Lake Braddock (Burke) (21-9), #1831 Lake Braddock (Burke) (39-20), #2785 South County (Lorton) (50-7), #3157 West Springfield (Springfield) (44-20)
2023 Opponents W-L: 68-78
Recent League Championships: 2022 (tied for 1st), 2021 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/2 at Wakefield (Arlington), 9/6 Oakton (Vienna), 9/13 Centreville (Clifton), 9/20 at South County (Lorton), 9/27 at Lake Braddock (Burke), 10/4 vs West Potomac (Alexandria), 10/11 Woodson [W. T.] (Fairfax), 10/25 at Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax), 11/2 West Springfield (Springfield), 11/8 at Alexandria City (Alexandria)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Lake Braddock (Burke) (10.6), West Springfield (Springfield) (5.4), South County (Lorton) (3.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Wakefield (Arlington) (-38.7), Woodson [W. T.] (Fairfax) (-35.3), Oakton (Vienna) (-34.5)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.5 (2.4 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -19
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -17.5
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #153
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5956
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2024 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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