Downey [Thomas] (Modesto, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Knights
Colors: Navy/White
Coach: Jeremy Plaa
League: Central California - CCAL
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2023 JV Record: 1-9
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Carson Lamb 6'1" 175 Senior QB 4.65
Joseph Ramirez 6'3" 180 Senior WR 4.6
Noah Sacuskie 6'3" 210 Senior LB/DE 4.9

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Culture, Skill Position Depth
Team Weaknesses: OL Question Marks

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 25.8
2023 National Rank: #1602
2023 State Rank: #133
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -33.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: 12.1
2024 National Rank: #1505
2024 State Rank: #126
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 18.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2174
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 39-11 [38-12 on the field] (21-4 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 16.9
Dynasty National Rank: #3477
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.7
Dynasty Record: 139-83 [138-84 on the field] (80-35 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 10-2
2023 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 33.4
2023 Points Against Average: 15.4
2023 Differential: +18
2023 Wins: #1881 Tracy (27-10), #1871 Tracy (forfeit win), #2263 Hughson (19-13), #3113 Merced (42-6), #3384 Lincoln (Stockton) (50-33), #4252 Gregori [Joseph A.] (Modesto) (38-20), #5806 Lodi (31-14), #6679 Pitman [John H.] (Turlock) (35-7), #7794 Enochs [James C.] (Modesto) (48-0), #11573 Modesto (59-0)
2023 Losses: #147 Rocklin (42-7), #1804 Turlock (24-11)
2023 Opponents W-L: 67-69
Recent League Championships: 2022, 2021, 2016 (Modesto Metro), 2015 (tied for 1st; Modesto Metro), 2014 (Modesto Metro), 2013 (tied for 1st; Modesto Metro), 2012 (Modesto Metro), 2003 (tied for 1st; Central California)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at Lincoln (Stockton), 8/30 Elk Grove, 9/6 at Merced, 9/13 Amador Valley (Pleasanton), 9/20 Edison (Stockton), 10/4 Pitman [John H.] (Turlock), 10/11 vs Modesto, 10/18 at Turlock, 10/24 Enochs [James C.] (Modesto), 11/1 at Gregori [Joseph A.] (Modesto)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Amador Valley (Pleasanton) (22), Edison (Stockton) (21.4), Elk Grove (9.1)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Modesto (-55.2), Enochs [James C.] (Modesto) (-35.7), Pitman [John H.] (Turlock) (-22.4)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 6.1 (15.1 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.5
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12.6
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #239
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3170
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 3%