Churchill (Eugene, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Blue/Red
Coach: Layne Coffin
League: 5A Special District 4 (moving from 5A Special District 2)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #18

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -24.4
2023 National Rank: #10224
2023 State Rank: #76
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +2.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: -35.7
2024 National Rank: #8931
2024 State Rank: #67
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -15.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #9313
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 17.9
5-Year Dynasty Record: 16-26 (15-14 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 3.7
Dynasty National Rank: #7179
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 37.3
Dynasty Record: 109-95 (70-57 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 3-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-4 (5th)
2023 Points For Average: 26.4
2023 Points Against Average: 24.1
2023 Differential: +2.3
2023 Wins: #12202 North Eugene (Eugene) (47-0), #12884 South Eugene (Eugene) (34-8), #13185 Willamette (Eugene) (40-13)
2023 Losses: #2319 Mountain View (Bend) (37-0), #4746 Marist (Eugene) (36-35), #5400 Thurston (Springfield) (48-28), #7599 Springfield (21-8), #9681 Eagle Point (28-22), #10585 Crater (Central Point) (26-24)
2023 Opponents W-L: 53-41
Recent League Championships: 2018 (5A Special District 2 South), 2017 (5A Midwestern), 2006 (5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/6 Springfield, 9/13 at Roseburg, 9/27 Crater (Central Point), 10/3 at Thurston (Springfield), 10/10 North Eugene (Eugene), 10/18 at Willamette (Eugene), 10/25 South Eugene (Eugene), 11/1 at Eagle Point
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Thurston (Springfield) (-9.7), Springfield (-22.9), Crater (Central Point) (-35.2)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Willamette (Eugene) (-65), North Eugene (Eugene) (-56.6), South Eugene (Eugene) (-55)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -19.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -41.2
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #83
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11231
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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