GENERAL
Nickname: Colts
Colors: Navy/Gold/White
Coach: Bobby Newcombe
League: 6A Premier
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #14
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jeremiah Newcombe 5'11" 175 Senior CB
Gerayas Grimes 5'11" 170 Senior S
Camden Jury 6'6" 315 Senior OT
RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 31.1
2023 National Rank: #1120
2023 State Rank: #22
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.1
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +6.8
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -6.4
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +1
2024 Starting Power Rating: 20.3
2024 National Rank: #923
2024 State Rank: #17
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 37.1
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #489
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 14.9
5-Year Dynasty Record: 34-25 (8-13 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 32.3
Dynasty National Rank: #931
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 10.1
Dynasty Record: 66-30 (21-15 in league)
HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 6-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 0-4 (5th)
2023 Points For Average: 28.2
2023 Points Against Average: 28.8
2023 Differential: -0.6
2023 Wins: #1515 O'Connor [Sandra Day] (Phoenix) (38-35), #1785 Queen Creek (35-28), #1908 Boulder Creek (Anthem) (37-7), #2757 Corona del Sol (Tempe) (35-21), #5657 Valley Vista (Surprise) (52-15), #10083 Browne [Trevor G.] (Phoenix) (51-0)
2023 Losses: #98 Basha (Chandler) (43-7), #117 Chandler (49-28), #157 Carlsbad (CA) (49-9), #221 Hamilton (Chandler) (37-17), #591 Brophy College Prep (Phoenix) (31-17), #730 Perry (Gilbert) (31-12)
2023 Opponents W-L: 75-59
Recent State Championships: 2017 (3A)
Recent League Championships: 2020 (tied for 1st; 6A Fiesta), 2017 (3A Metro)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Boulder Creek (Anthem), 9/6 at Queen Creek, 9/13 Mountain Pointe (Phoenix), 9/20 Mountain Ridge (Glendale), 9/27 at Mesa, 10/11 at Perry (Gilbert), 10/18 Chandler, 10/25 at Hamilton (Chandler), 11/1 Basha (Chandler), 11/8 Corona del Sol (Tempe)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Basha (Chandler) (48.3), Chandler (47.9), Hamilton (Chandler) (43.7)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Mountain Ridge (Glendale) (-2.9), Mesa (0.2), Corona del Sol (Tempe) (4.4)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 34.2 (30.3 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.3
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.9
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #17
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #385
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 4th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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