Briar Woods (Ashburn, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Michael Burnett
League: Potomac
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #13

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 21
2023 National Rank: #2136
2023 State Rank: #38
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -3.1
2024 Starting Power Rating: 1.7
2024 National Rank: #2580
2024 State Rank: #53
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 14.4
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2833
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 10.6
5-Year Dynasty Record: 27-25 (16-10 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 22.2
Dynasty National Rank: #2296
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 18.4
Dynasty Record: 127-82 (63-36 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 8-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 24.6
2023 Points Against Average: 16.7
2023 Differential: +7.9
2023 Wins: #2593 Riverbend (Fredericksburg) (48-18), #2845 Champe [John] (Aldie) (27-13), #3920 Lightridge (Aldie) (34-20), #4106 Loudoun County (Leesburg) (27-14), #5742 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (28-0), #6529 Riverside (Leesburg) (42-13), #7125 North Stafford (Stafford) (37-14), #8200 Broad Run (Ashburn) (28-13)
2023 Losses: #579 Fort Hill (Cumberland, MD) (28-0), #903 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (29-6), #903 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (29-12), #5627 Independence (Ashburn) (9-6)
2023 Opponents W-L: 75-64
Recent State Championships: 2012 (4), 2011 (4), 2010 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2013 (5A Conference 14), 2012 (AA Dulles), 2011 (AA Dulles), 2010 (AA Dulles)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/29 Champe [John] (Aldie), 9/6 at Loudoun County (Leesburg), 9/13 at Broad Run (Ashburn), 9/20 North Stafford (Stafford), 10/4 at Fort Hill (Cumberland, MD), 10/10 at Riverside (Leesburg), 10/18 Potomac Falls (Sterling), 10/25 Lightridge (Aldie), 10/31 Stone Bridge (Ashburn), 11/8 at Independence (Ashburn)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (30.7), Fort Hill (Cumberland, MD) (16.6), Champe [John] (Aldie) (5.4)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Potomac Falls (Sterling) (-22.1), Broad Run (Ashburn) (-20.9), Riverside (Leesburg) (-18.9)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.6 (13.3 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.7
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -13.3
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #34
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2667
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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