Bear Lake (Montpelier, ID)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Royal Blue/White
Coach: Ryan Messerly
League: 4A Great Basin (moving from 2A South East Idaho)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #11

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -5
2023 National Rank: #6649
2023 State Rank: #49
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -4.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: -34.1
2024 National Rank: #8645
2024 State Rank: #60
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 7.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4062
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 39.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 34-18 (14-6 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): -0.9
Dynasty National Rank: #8515
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 31.1
Dynasty Record: 80-109 (33-41 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 5-5
2023 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (3rd)
2023 Points For Average: 19.9
2023 Points Against Average: 24.2
2023 Differential: -4.3
2023 Wins: #8313 Firth (14-13), #8784 Malad (41-20), #9221 Wendell (27-23), #9221 Wendell (42-0), #11132 Soda Springs (42-8)
2023 Losses: #1855 West Side (Dayton) (42-7), #3121 North Fremont (Ashton) (28-6), #3121 North Fremont (Ashton) (54-6), #6056 Aberdeen (26-14), #6221 Lyman (WY) (28-0)
2023 Opponents W-L: 56-40
Recent State Championships: 2022 (2A)
Recent League Championships: 2022 (2A South East Idaho), 2016 (2A South East Idaho)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at South Fremont (St. Anthony), 8/30 at North Fremont (Ashton), 9/6 Salmon/Leadore (Salmon), 9/13 Snake River (Blackfoot), 9/20 at Jackson Hole (Jackson, WY), 9/27 Rich (Randolph, UT), 10/11 at American Falls, 10/18 Marsh Valley (Arimo)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: North Fremont (Ashton) (-0.2), Jackson Hole (Jackson, WY) (-25.4), Snake River (Blackfoot) (-25.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: South Fremont (St. Anthony) (-52.2), American Falls (-38.2), Marsh Valley (Arimo) (-31.1)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.7 (-4.5 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -21.5
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -17.8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #46
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6582
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-5
2024 Projected League Finish: 7th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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