Bartram Trail (St. Johns, FL)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Blue/Silver
Coach: Cory Johns
League: 6A District 3 (moving from 4S District 3)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #5

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Riley Trujillo 6'3" 215 Senior QB

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 46.2
2023 National Rank: #313
2023 State Rank: #27
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.2
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +7.2
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -2.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: 34.6
2024 National Rank: #382
2024 State Rank: #35
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 48
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #156
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 12.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 50-12 (19-1 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 39.4
Dynasty National Rank: #396
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.9
Dynasty Record: 171-85 (66-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 8-5
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 32.2
2023 Points Against Average: 29.8
2023 Differential: +2.4
2023 Wins: #164 Mandarin (Jacksonville) (24-14), #445 Niceville (28-21), #514 Ponte Vedra (20-17), #739 Creekside (Jacksonville) (31-19), #1252 Oakleaf (Orange Park) (45-42), #1326 Navarre (67-55), #2294 Fleming Island (Orange Park) (49-28), #3760 Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) (55-0)
2023 Losses: #7 IMG Academy (Bradenton) (49-20), #91 Mainland (Daytona Beach) (28-24), #104 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (43-7), #104 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (37-17), #188 St. Augustine (34-31)
2023 Opponents W-L: 114-43
Recent League Championships: 2022 (4S District 3), 2021 (8A District 1), 2020 (8A Region 1), 2019 (8A District 1), 2018 (tied for 1st; 7A District 3), 2017 (7A District 3), 2007 (5A District 2), 2006 (5A District 2), 2005 (5A District 2)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 Sumner (Riverview), 8/30 Ponte Vedra, 9/6 at Ware County (Waycross, GA), 9/13 Creekside (St. Johns), 9/20 at Orange Park, 9/27 Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine), 10/11 Nease [Allen D.] (Ponte Vedra), 10/18 St. Augustine, 10/25 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville), 11/1 Ribault [Jean] (Jacksonville)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: St. Augustine (50), Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (45.3), Ware County (Waycross, GA) (39.9)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Orange Park (-3.3), Ribault [Jean] (Jacksonville) (-3.3), Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) (4.4)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 41.7 (42.9 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 23.1
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -18.6
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #19
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #264
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%



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