GENERAL
Nickname: Buffaloes
Colors: Forest Green/White
Coach: Mark Varnum
League: Valley Oak
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #2
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2021 JV Record: 9-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Blake Nickolson 6'3" 215 Senior ILB/RB 4.47
Alijah Cota 6'3" 235 Senior LB/FB 4.7
Mason Gibson 6'0" 250 Senior DL/G 4.8
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Zion Allen 6'1" 150 Senior CB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: 16 Returning Starters, Defensive Front 7 Returns Intact
Team Weaknesses: Secondary Youth
RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: 35.1
2021 National Rank: #762
2021 State Rank: #74
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +8.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2
2022 Starting Power Rating: 31.8
2022 National Rank: #352
2022 State Rank: #46
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 30.3
Dynasty National Rank: #1239
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 1.5
Dynasty Record: 175-51 (97-27 in league)
HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 10-4
2021 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th)
2021 Points For Average: 39.6
2021 Points Against Average: 24.9
2021 Differential: +14.7
2021 Wins: #789 Oakdale (35-28), #2243 Downey [Thomas] (Modesto) (46-14), #2262 Lincoln (28-3), #2444 Patterson (44-17), #3276 Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) (46-19), #3543 East Union (Manteca) (40-34), #3661 Sacramento (54-14), #3795 Turlock (44-36), #9888 Sierra (Manteca) (65-0), #10743 Weston Ranch (Stockton) (57-7)
2021 Losses: #250 Central Catholic (Modesto) (56-33), #626 Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (35-21), #789 Oakdale (28-0), #1602 Kimball [John C.] (Tracy) (58-41)
2021 Opponents W-L: 104-62
Recent Section Championships: 2021 (III), 2019 (III), 2017 (III), 2016 (IV), 2013 (III), 2006 (IV), 2005 (III)
Recent League Championships: 2020, 2019 (tied for 1st), 2016 (tied for 1st), 2013, 2010 (tied for 1st), 2006, 2005 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/19 Vista del Lago (Folsom), 8/26 at Patterson, 9/2 Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove), 9/9 Turlock, 9/30 at Kimball [John C.] (Tracy), 10/7 Sierra (Manteca), 10/14 at East Union (Manteca), 10/21 Central Catholic (Modesto), 10/28 Oakdale
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Central Catholic (Modesto) (41.5), Oakdale (25), Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) (12)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Sierra (Manteca) (-33.1), Vista del Lago (Folsom) (-1.8), Turlock (-0.9)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.4 (19.3 overall)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.6
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12.8
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #122
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1066
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1
2022 Projected League Finish: 1st
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 13%