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St. Vincent (Petaluma, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/White/Red
Coach: Trent Herzog
League: North Bay - Redwood
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 7
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Kai Hall 5'8" 180 Senior RB/LB 4.5
Nathan Rooks 6'1" 220 Senior LB/FB 4.9
Jaret Bosarge 5'8" 160 Senior QB/DB 4.7

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Speed, OL/Running Game, Secondary
Team Weaknesses: Depth, OLB/DE Graduation Losses

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: 9.1
2021 National Rank: #3856
2021 State Rank: #291
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.8
2022 Starting Power Rating: 1.3
2022 National Rank: #2819
2022 State Rank: #230
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): -11
Dynasty National Rank: #11540
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 12.3
Dynasty Record: 117-85-1 (48-34-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 11-2
2021 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (tied for 1st)
2021 Points For Average: 35.5
2021 Points Against Average: 14.2
2021 Differential: +21.3
2021 Wins: #3900 St. Bernard's (Eureka) (21-20), #5015 St. Helena (14-13), #5015 St. Helena (54-32), #6475 Ukiah (15-8), #7527 Clear Lake (Lakeport) (25-20), #7663 Santa Rosa (42-6), #11263 St. Patrick-St. Vincent (Vallejo) (57-0), #11333 Delta (Clarksburg) (48-6), #12055 Piner (Santa Rosa) (62-0), #12206 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (42-0), #12241 Healdsburg (48-8)
2021 Losses: #1849 Argonaut (Jackson) (42-12), #5635 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (30-21)
2021 Opponents W-L: 79-62
Recent Section Championships: 2021, 2008 (V), 2005 (B)
Recent League Championships: 2021 (tied for 1st), 2020 (North Bay - Group 2), 2014 (North Central II), 2013 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2012 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2008 (tied for 1st; North Central I - South), 2005 (North Central I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/27 at St. Bernard's (Eureka), 9/3 at Incline (Incline Village, NV), 9/10 St. Helena, 9/16 at Oakland Tech (Oakland), 9/24 Montgomery (Santa Rosa), 10/7 at Piner (Santa Rosa), 10/15 St. Bernard's (Eureka), 10/21 at Ukiah, 10/29 Healdsburg, 11/5 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: St. Bernard's (Eureka) (7.2), Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (-7.2), Ukiah (-14)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Piner (Santa Rosa) (-59.5), Healdsburg (-48.1), Incline (Incline Village, NV) (-44.5)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -9 (-9.3 overall)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -23.5
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.5
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #522
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7546
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2022 Projected League Finish: 1st
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 4%