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Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: T.J. Ewing
League: Delta
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I-VI
Playoff Division Rank: #13

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2015 JV Record: 6-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Robert Holt 6'2.5" 195 Senior ATH/SS 4.64
Bishop Brown 6'0" 195 Senior DB/SB 4.5
Pedro Pantoja 5'10" 205 Senior ILB/RB 4.7

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 32
2015 National Rank: #1628
2015 State Rank: #131
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 36.5
2016 National Rank: #1070
2016 State Rank: #89
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 18.1
Dynasty National Rank: #2783
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 18.4
Dynasty Record: 57-66 (23-38 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 5-6
2015 League Record/Finish: 3-4 (tied for 5th)
2015 Points For Average: 25.6
2015 Points Against Average: 20.7
2015 Differential: +4.9
2015 Wins: #1636 Merced (24-7), #1856 Jesuit (Carmichael) (28-3), #3992 Davis (36-29), #4467 Sheldon (Sacramento) (35-14), #13517 Florin (Sacramento) (75-0)
2015 Losses: #134 Elk Grove (31-20), #225 Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) (35-14), #524 Grant (Sacramento) (21-6), #596 Antelope (28-0), #946 Franklin (Elk Grove) (28-18), #2065 Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) (32-26)
2015 Opponents W-L: 77-50
Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st; Delta River)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 2
Streak List: 8/26/16 Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (40-14), 9/2/16 Del Campo (Fair Oaks) (48-21)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara), 9/2 at Del Campo (Fair Oaks), 9/9 vs Vista del Lago (Folsom), 9/23 Sheldon (Sacramento), 9/30 vs Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove), 10/7 Franklin (Elk Grove), 10/14 Grant (Sacramento), 10/21 at Elk Grove, 10/29 at Jesuit (Carmichael), 11/4 Davis
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Elk Grove (59.2), Franklin (Elk Grove) (33.4), Grant (Sacramento) (31.3)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Sheldon (Sacramento) (17), Davis (17.8), Vista del Lago (Folsom) (19.1)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.8 (32.2 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 27.5
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.7
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #95
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #823
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2016 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%