FRONTIER #1  >>

Grace Brethren (Simi Valley, CA) GENERAL Nickname: Lancers Colors: Red/White/Black Coach: Terry Gourley League: Frontier (moving from Tri-Valley) Section: Southern Playoff Division: East Valley (XII) Playoff Division Rank: #8 CA Bowl Division: South Small (not yet official) CA Bowl Division Rank: #17 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 6 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 2007 JV Record: 1-9 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes RATINGS 2007 Final Power Rating: 1.6 2007 National Rank: #7511 2007 State Rank: #547 Off-Season Rating Adjustment: +2 2008 Starting Power Rating: 3.6 2008 National Rank: #6978 2008 State Rank: #506 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 10.6 Dynasty National Rank: #4191 2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 7 Dynasty Record: 40-20 (11-9 in league) HISTORICAL 2007 Overall Record: 4-6 2007 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th) 2007 Points For Average: 23.8 2007 Points Against Average: 29.4 2007 Differential: -5.6 2007 Wins: #10204 Village Christian (Sun Valley) (28-21), #10204 Santa Paula (40-13), #12415 Kilpatrick (Malibu) (48-0), #12836 Channel Islands (Oxnard) (42-9) 2007 Losses: #299 Oaks Christian (Westlake Village) (48-0), #1831 Oak Park (38-6), #2324 Nordhoff (Ojai) (31-6), #2440 West Ranch (Valencia) (37-20), #3055 Big Bear (Big Bear City) (62-40), #5227 Carpinteria (35-8) 2007 Opponents W-L: 52-60-1 Recent Section Championships: 2004 (XII) Recent League Championships: 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha) Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none SCHEDULE 2008 Schedule: 9/6 vs Big Bear (Big Bear City), 9/12 at Oak Park, 9/19 vs Franklin (Los Angeles), 9/26 at Carpinteria, 10/3 vs Paraclete (Lancaster), 10/10 vs Bishop Diego (Santa Barbara), 10/17 vs Malibu, 10/31 vs Villanova Prep (Ojai), 11/7 at Fillmore, 11/14 at Santa Paula Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Oak Park (24.2), Paraclete (Lancaster) (23.1), Franklin (Los Angeles) (16.9) Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Villanova Prep (Ojai) (-31.9), Malibu (-9.2), Santa Paula (-9.1) 2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.4 2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.6 2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.8 2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6 2008 Projected League Finish: 1st 2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 9/6 vs Big Bear (Big Bear City) [projection: 28-22 loss] Outlook: Grace Brethren is poised to be a contender this fall in the Southern Section Mid-Valley Division (they were in the Northwest Division last year). Aside from moving out of a league with Oaks Christian, the Lancers are looking like they'll have a pretty good team. QB Kevin Ramay will return from a very nice junior year, as will RB Ryan Curnel. Coach Terry Gourley thinks the skill positions overall will be solid, but he knows that his offensive line is untested. The defense will be led by DE Gabriel Crooks. Coach Gourley said that the last couple of years have been a rebuilding project (massive graduations), but that they will now be ready to return to the form of 2004, when they had won the Southern Section D-XII title.