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Commerce (TX)


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Black/Orange
Coach: Bryan Price
League: 3A Region II District 10
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #150

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: -5.4
2007 National Rank: #9346
2007 State Rank: #756
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -5.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: -10.8
2008 National Rank: #10551
2008 State Rank: #843
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 3
Dynasty National Rank: #6525
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 13.8
Dynasty Record: 24-28 (13-12 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 2-8
2007 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (6th)
2007 Points For Average: 26.7
2007 Points Against Average: 43.2
2007 Differential: -16.5
2007 Wins: #7903 Rains (Emory) (30-14), #12633 Bonham (54-20)
2007 Losses: #1200 Royse City (55-7), #1831 Pittsburg (63-42), #4549 Kaufman (59-34), #4573 Wills Point (28-15), #4643 Canton (37-17), #5420 North Lamar (Paris) (43-22), #6521 Ford (Quinlan) (57-6), #7513 Community (Nevada) (56-40)
2007 Opponents W-L: 58-52
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st, 3A Region II District 11)
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 8/29 Canton, 9/5 at Crandall, 9/12 Gunter, 9/19 at Daingerfield, 9/26 Gladewater, 10/10 Paris, 10/17 at Bonham, 10/24 Van Alstyne, 10/31 Anna, 11/7 at North Lamar (Paris)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Daingerfield (21.4), North Lamar (Paris) (19.1), Gunter (16.7)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Bonham (-22), Gladewater (-11.6), Crandall (-8.6)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.1
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.1
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2008 Projected League Finish: 5th
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/29 Canton [projection: 41-24 loss]



Outlook: Nine starters return for coach Bryan Price, but skill position talent is badly needed. Following last year's 2-8 campaign, the team must replace a lot of key ingredients. The team's top offensive talent might be receiver T.J. Hawkins. In the running game, Derek Johnson should see a lot of carries. Terrence Walker gets the nod under center. Joining Hawkins at WR should be Taner Burnett, Jose Mojica, and R.J. Harrison. The offensive line has a key player or two, and the defense should be solid. A top three finish in the district seems possible.