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New Caney (TX)


GENERAL
Nickname: Eagles
Colors: Blue/White
Coach: Russell Roberts
League: 5A Region II District 14 (moving from 4A Region III District 21)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #206

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 10
2007 JV Record: 1-8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: -3.2
2007 National Rank: #8803
2007 State Rank: #711
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: +0.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: -2.6
2008 National Rank: #8641
2008 State Rank: #694
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 5.2
Dynasty National Rank: #5834
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 7.8
Dynasty Record: 21-28 (14-18 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 2-8
2007 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (6th)
2007 Points For Average: 19
2007 Points Against Average: 33.1
2007 Differential: -14.1
2007 Wins: #10723 Forest Brook (Houston) (29-6), #11755 Hargrave (Huffman) (41-14)
2007 Losses: #1098 Lumberton (41-6), #2324 Livingston (56-7), #3203 Crosby (33-18), #3944 Huntsville (71-14), #4694 Galena Park (19-0), #5937 Smiley (Houston) (35-31), #6089 Barbers Hill (Mt. Belvieu) (25-20), #8229 King (Houston) (31-24)
2007 Opponents W-L: 63-45
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 8/28 at Spring Woods (Houston), 9/5 Magnolia, 9/12 Willis, 9/18 at Chavez (Houston), 10/3 Sterling (Baytown), 10/10 at Lufkin, 10/18 at College Park (The Woodlands), 10/24 Oak Ridge (Conroe), 10/31 at Conroe, 11/7 The Woodlands
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Lufkin (45), Conroe (26.1), The Woodlands (24.2)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Willis (-13.4), Sterling (Baytown) (-6.7), Spring Woods (Houston) (-4.5)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.9
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.3
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.4
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2008 Projected League Finish: 6th
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/28 at Spring Woods (Houston) [projection: 27-26 win]



Outlook: Coach Russell Roberts says that his team will be much improved in 2008, but they are now in a much more difficult district, moving from AAAA to AAAAA. The team's strength should be on defense, with ten starters back, including linemen Jake Stewart and Ryan McCants, LB Zac Barfield and Corner Chase Fergeson. On offense, work in the trenches should be solid, but skill position talent must step forward. Improvement is likely, but key newcomers must perform on offense, and the schedule will be a challenge.