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Nocona (TX)


GENERAL
Nickname: Nocona
Colors: Orange/Black
Coach: Gary McElroy
League: 2A Region I District 5 (moving from 2A Region II District 9)
Playoff Division: 2A
Playoff Division Rank: #97

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2007 JV Record: 3-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 4
2007 National Rank: #6864
2007 State Rank: #575
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -2.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 1.5
2008 National Rank: #7513
2008 State Rank: #620
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): -5.7
Dynasty National Rank: #9318
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 7.2
Dynasty Record: 20-31 (13-18 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 7-4
2007 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (3rd)
2007 Points For Average: 25.2
2007 Points Against Average: 17.4
2007 Differential: +7.8
2007 Wins: #3944 Olney (34-19), #6494 Valley View (21-7), #9523 Alvord (19-6), #9707 Jacksboro (18-13), #12463 City View (Wichita Falls) (56-0), #13394 Chico (48-0), #13735 Muenster (47-20)
2007 Losses: #503 Cisco (63-0), #5357 Holliday (13-12), #6691 Henrietta (24-14), #7223 Aubrey (26-8)
2007 Opponents W-L: 64-57
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 8/29 Valley View, 9/5 Muenster, 9/12 at S & S Consolidated (Sadler), 9/19 at Callisburg (Gainesville), 9/26 Paradise, 10/10 at City View (Wichita Falls), 10/17 Holliday, 10/24 at Olney, 11/7 Henrietta
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Olney (16.8), Henrietta (8.1), Holliday (6.3)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Muenster (-35.5), City View (Wichita Falls) (-29.7), S & S Consolidated (Sadler) (-11.3)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -11.1 (2.2 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -4.9
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +6.2
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-4
2008 Projected League Finish: 4th
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/29 Valley View [projection: 21-20 win]



Outlook: Despite losing starters at QB and RB, coach Gary McElroy thinks that skill position depth will be a big plus for his squad this season. On the flip side, the offensive line is a major question mark, and that unit must be consistent in order for QB Remy Stewart to have time looking for WRs Trevor Fenoglio and Jameson Fenner. Phillip Lott and Dean Jones are both capable Fullbacks, while newcomer BJ Guilliams will see time at RB. Nocona should be slightly improved, but they will need solid line play to be good.