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Jay (San Antonio, TX)


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/Silver
Coach: Bobby Jack Goforth
League: 5A Region IV District 28
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #194

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 5.4
2007 National Rank: #6510
2007 State Rank: #551
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -3.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 1.9
2008 National Rank: #7421
2008 State Rank: #613
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 24.6
Dynasty National Rank: #1191
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 22.7
Dynasty Record: 36-20 (23-14 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 3-7
2007 League Record/Finish: 2-6 (7th)
2007 Points For Average: 18.8
2007 Points Against Average: 25.8
2007 Differential: -7
2007 Wins: #5450 Stevens (San Antonio) (25-14), #7513 South San Antonio (San Antonio) (47-33), #8917 Del Rio (35-14)
2007 Losses: #1065 Warren (San Antonio) (42-7), #1087 O'Connor (Helotes) (56-14), #1273 Southwest (San Antonio) (16-13), #3203 Clark (San Antonio) (27-14), #5708 Marshall (San Antonio) (17-7), #6115 Taft (San Antonio) (22-12), #10961 Holmes (San Antonio) (17-14)
2007 Opponents W-L: 56-53
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st, 5A Region IV District 27)
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 8/29 Lee (San Antonio), 9/5 at Del Rio, 9/19 O'Connor (Helotes), 9/27 at Warren (San Antonio), 10/4 Clark (San Antonio), 10/10 at Taft (San Antonio), 10/18 Holmes (San Antonio), 10/24 at Brandeis (San Antonio), 10/31 Stevens (San Antonio), 11/7 at Marshall (San Antonio)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Warren (San Antonio) (25.9), O'Connor (Helotes) (21.2), Clark (San Antonio) (20.7)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Holmes (San Antonio) (-8.3), Del Rio (-4.1), Taft (San Antonio) (1.4)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.7
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.5
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: -4.2
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2008 Projected League Finish: 6th
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/29 Lee (San Antonio) [projection: 35-22 loss]



Outlook: Coach Bobby Jack Goforth's Mustangs will be led by his defense this season, with seven starters returning on that unit. There is depth in the secondary, and LBs Daniel Medrano and Irvin Smalls are dependable. The offensive line should be an offensive strength with Jason Lopez likely to start at RB. QB is a big question. If the offense is able to move the chains and sustain drives, the defense should keep every game close.