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Shallowater (TX)


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Black/Red
Coach: Speedy Faith
League: 2A Region I District 3
Playoff Division: 2A
Playoff Division Rank: #84

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 3.6
2007 National Rank: #6982
2007 State Rank: #585
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: +0.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 4.1
2008 National Rank: #6844
2008 State Rank: #565
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 9.2
Dynasty National Rank: #4585
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.1
Dynasty Record: 29-27 (16-13 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 2-7
2007 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th)
2007 Points For Average: 23.1
2007 Points Against Average: 32.3
2007 Differential: -9.2
2007 Wins: #5937 Roosevelt (Lubbock) (26-20), #11320 Lockney (27-7)
2007 Losses: #974 Childress (56-44), #1273 Muleshoe (50-26), #1770 Littlefield (36-15), #3040 Brownfield (34-25), #4775 Floydada (14-12), #4939 Abernathy (39-6), #5450 Cooper (Lubbock) (35-27)
2007 Opponents W-L: 59-40
Recent League Championships: 2003 (2A Region I District 4)
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 8/29 at Brownfield, 9/5 Crosbyton, 9/12 at Levelland, 9/26 at Idalou, 10/3 Slaton, 10/10 Denver City, 10/17 at Post, 10/24 Littlefield, 10/31 at Roosevelt (Lubbock), 11/7 Abernathy
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Idalou (39), Littlefield (24.1), Brownfield (23.5)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Crosbyton (-17.5), Slaton (-1.1), Denver City (1.3)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.5
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.2
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: -4.3
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2008 Projected League Finish: 6th
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/29 at Brownfield [projection: 40-19 loss]



Outlook: Mustang coach Speedy Faith should have lots of confidence in QB Andrew Morris. Last season Morris threw for more than 2,000 yards and 20 TDs and there is no reason he can't duplicate those numbers this year. If he does, with more weapons around him now, improving upon a 2-7 season is likely. Clay Elmore should be a key WR with Tight Ends Jordan Scaff and Will Walter both very capable. On defense, LBs Hestin Hurst and Cory Rodriguez lead the way. Improvement is likely, especially if a key RB steps forward and a defender or two emerges to make big plays.