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Taylor (Katy, TX)


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/White
Coach: Flint Risien
League: 5A Region III District 17 (moving from 5A Region III District 18)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #168

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 16.2
2007 National Rank: #3855
2007 State Rank: #346
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -8.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 7.7
2008 National Rank: #5842
2008 State Rank: #496
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 16
Dynasty National Rank: #2766
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.3
Dynasty Record: 24-25 [23-26 on the field] (15-17 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 4-6
2007 League Record/Finish: 3-4 (6th)
2007 Points For Average: 19.8
2007 Points Against Average: 23.7
2007 Differential: -3.9
2007 Wins: #3364 Cinco Ranch (Katy) (16-10), #4623 Austin (Sugar Land) (28-27), #4643 Alief Taylor (Houston) (16-0), #7348 Morton Ranch (Katy) (52-21)
2007 Losses: #6 Katy (48-0), #1017 Cypress Falls (Houston) (34-20), #2155 Alief Hastings (Houston) (24-21), #2510 Langham Creek (Houston) (34-14), #3645 Mayde Creek (Houston) (14-10), #4668 Alief Elsik (Houston) (25-21)
2007 Opponents W-L: 60-51
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 8/30 Cypress Springs (Cypress), 9/6 Austin (Sugar Land), 9/12 Terry (Rosenberg), 9/20 Lamar (Houston), 10/3 at Lee (Baytown), 10/11 Cinco Ranch (Katy), 10/18 Mayde Creek (Houston), 10/24 at Katy, 11/1 Morton Ranch (Katy), 11/8 at Seven Lakes (Katy)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Katy (47.2), Lamar (Houston) (27.4), Cinco Ranch (Katy) (23.9)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Morton Ranch (Katy) (-6.2), Seven Lakes (Katy) (3.8), Austin (Sugar Land) (4.3)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.6
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.5
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.1
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2008 Projected League Finish: 4th
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/30 Cypress Springs (Cypress) [projection: 22-21 loss]



Outlook: Flint Risien leaves SMU, where he was coaching Tackles and Tight Ends, to take over a Mustang program that went 4-6 last year. Only six starters are back, and Lee Rodgers is moving from Safety to QB. John Lattal will start at RB for a team with a lot of questions entering the year. Risien has a good pedigree, and some talent is back, but molding the program into his image and developing his type of system takes a little time. Mild improvement is possible.