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Alvarado (TX)


GENERAL
Nickname: Indians
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Jeff Dixon
League: 3A Region II District 12 (moving from 4A Region I District 8)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #81

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 9.3
2007 National Rank: #5514
2007 State Rank: #481
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: +0.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 9.8
2008 National Rank: #5329
2008 State Rank: #453
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 10.8
Dynasty National Rank: #4133
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1
Dynasty Record: 16-35 (12-17 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 3-7
2007 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (tied for 5th)
2007 Points For Average: 18.2
2007 Points Against Average: 33.1
2007 Differential: -14.9
2007 Wins: #5782 Joshua (21-18), #6159 Springtown (31-27), #7513 Mineral Wells (24-21)
2007 Losses: #202 Everman (55-0), #334 Stephenville (42-10), #470 Aledo (38-14), #2902 Crowley (28-9), #2924 Birdville (North Richland Hills) (25-22), #4148 Cleburne (35-28), #6795 Boswell (Fort Worth) (42-23)
2007 Opponents W-L: 65-48
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: 1
Streak List: 11/9/07 Mineral Wells (24-21)

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 8/29 Midway (Waco), 9/5 at Robinson, 9/12 at Boswell (Fort Worth), 9/19 Joshua, 10/3 Connally (Waco), 10/10 at Kaufman, 10/17 at Kennedale, 10/24 Ferris, 10/31 at Crandall, 11/7 Venus
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Midway (Waco) (32.8), Robinson (27.9), Connally (Waco) (22.5)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Venus (-16.4), Crandall (-8.6), Boswell (Fort Worth) (3.7)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.2
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.1
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11.1
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2008 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/29 Midway (Waco) [projection: 35-17 loss]



Outlook: The Indians won three times last year and have nine starters back this year, including standout QB Thomas Head. Last year, Head fired for more than 1,000 yards. Head will hand off frequently to Broam Hart, a multi-skilled athlete who can make big plays. On defense, linebacker play should lead the way with Jaron Beam, Justin Bonham and Nathan Stauffer entrenched in the middle of the defense. A competitive year seems reasonable.