2024 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2023 data


State8/98/168/238/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/2912/612/1312/20TOTALS
Alabama  125-40
(75.8%)
121-43
(73.8%)
156-27
(85.2%)
161-23
(87.5%)
167-26
(86.5%)
128-29
(81.5%)
154-34
(81.9%)
159-30
(84.1%)
157-28
(84.9%)
173-15
(92%)
118-23
(83.7%)
99-13
(88.4%)
40-16
(71.4%)
23-5
(82.1%)
9-3
(75%)
4-3
(57.1%)
  1794-358
(83.4%)
Alaska 6-3
(66.7%)
6-4
(60%)
8-5
(61.5%)
6-4
(60%)
11-0
(100%)
7-4
(63.6%)
8-2
(80%)
7-4
(63.6%)
8-2
(80%)
4-1
(80%)
2-0
(100%)
        73-29
(71.6%)
Arizona  24-5
(82.8%)
72-27
(72.7%)
78-21
(78.8%)
89-16
(84.8%)
86-19
(81.9%)
82-14
(85.4%)
79-16
(83.2%)
58-10
(85.3%)
79-16
(83.2%)
90-13
(87.4%)
85-22
(79.4%)
59-21
(73.8%)
28-4
(87.5%)
13-5
(72.2%)
5-5
(50%)
2-2
(50%)
  929-216
(81.1%)
Arkansas   48-13
(78.7%)
40-24
(62.5%)
66-10
(86.8%)
31-9
(77.5%)
77-16
(82.8%)
81-13
(86.2%)
79-14
(84.9%)
82-12
(87.2%)
76-18
(80.9%)
78-16
(83%)
83-11
(88.3%)
43-9
(82.7%)
24-8
(75%)
9-7
(56.3%)
8-0
(100%)
0-2
(0%)
 825-182
(81.9%)
California 4-2
(66.7%)
264-99
(72.7%)
376-88
(81%)
363-107
(77.2%)
339-93
(78.5%)
365-88
(80.6%)
297-67
(81.6%)
402-60
(87%)
396-78
(83.5%)
425-65
(86.7%)
429-59
(87.9%)
405-84
(82.8%)
251-81
(75.6%)
160-50
(76.2%)
74-34
(68.5%)
35-16
(68.6%)
18-10
(64.3%)
13-2
(86.7%)
 4616-1083
(81%)
Colorado  21-4
(84%)
65-15
(81.3%)
61-21
(74.4%)
69-17
(80.2%)
69-19
(78.4%)
60-15
(80%)
70-7
(90.9%)
74-20
(78.7%)
70-15
(82.4%)
82-10
(89.1%)
81-14
(85.3%)
34-7
(82.9%)
28-6
(82.4%)
13-3
(81.3%)
6-2
(75%)
3-0
(100%)
  806-175
(82.2%)
Connecticut     28-17
(62.2%)
39-11
(78%)
39-13
(75%)
52-8
(86.7%)
26-4
(86.7%)
33-5
(86.8%)
50-11
(82%)
51-8
(86.4%)
51-12
(81%)
52-13
(80%)
16-2
(88.9%)
37-14
(72.5%)
31-4
(88.6%)
4-2
(66.7%)
 509-124
(80.4%)
Delaware   7-3
(70%)
10-3
(76.9%)
15-4
(78.9%)
18-2
(90%)
13-7
(65%)
16-6
(72.7%)
17-6
(73.9%)
20-2
(90.9%)
17-6
(73.9%)
17-5
(77.3%)
17-4
(81%)
10-2
(83.3%)
6-0
(100%)
2-1
(66.7%)
   185-51
(78.4%)
District of Columbia   8-0
(100%)
9-3
(75%)
9-0
(100%)
3-4
(42.9%)
10-0
(100%)
6-1
(85.7%)
6-3
(66.7%)
7-1
(87.5%)
7-1
(87.5%)
6-1
(85.7%)
4-1
(80%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
  80-15
(84.2%)
Florida  173-74
(70%)
178-64
(73.6%)
188-53
(78%)
200-45
(81.6%)
191-48
(79.9%)
114-26
(81.4%)
219-48
(82%)
50-7
(87.7%)
233-50
(82.3%)
232-40
(85.3%)
206-43
(82.7%)
73-14
(83.9%)
113-17
(86.9%)
52-13
(80%)
29-3
(90.6%)
13-2
(86.7%)
6-1
(85.7%)
 2270-548
(80.6%)
Georgia 137-62
(68.8%)
155-47
(76.7%)
150-38
(79.8%)
145-29
(83.3%)
147-32
(82.1%)
166-20
(89.2%)
54-11
(83.1%)
138-16
(89.6%)
130-22
(85.5%)
143-21
(87.2%)
177-30
(85.5%)
141-36
(79.7%)
11-3
(78.6%)
108-19
(85%)
56-13
(81.2%)
22-10
(68.8%)
14-2
(87.5%)
 6-2
(75%)
1900-413
(82.1%)
Hawaii10-1
(90.9%)
11-3
(78.6%)
8-5
(61.5%)
8-2
(80%)
10-6
(62.5%)
17-3
(85%)
18-2
(90%)
9-3
(75%)
16-5
(76.2%)
16-3
(84.2%)
17-1
(94.4%)
14-2
(87.5%)
8-2
(80%)
5-0
(100%)
5-1
(83.3%)
2-2
(50%)
1-2
(33.3%)
   175-43
(80.3%)
Idaho  12-5
(70.6%)
30-10
(75%)
33-10
(76.7%)
41-9
(82%)
34-11
(75.6%)
35-5
(87.5%)
33-5
(86.8%)
32-7
(82.1%)
31-9
(77.5%)
27-6
(81.8%)
16-4
(80%)
14-2
(87.5%)
6-2
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
    347-86
(80.1%)
Illinois   130-47
(73.4%)
152-32
(82.6%)
203-51
(79.9%)
221-31
(87.7%)
206-42
(83.1%)
199-45
(81.6%)
212-40
(84.1%)
222-29
(88.4%)
204-36
(85%)
111-17
(86.7%)
53-11
(82.8%)
25-7
(78.1%)
10-6
(62.5%)
6-2
(75%)
   1954-396
(83.1%)
Indiana  111-39
(74%)
100-34
(74.6%)
133-28
(82.6%)
135-26
(83.9%)
137-21
(86.7%)
117-21
(84.8%)
134-26
(83.8%)
134-22
(85.9%)
131-26
(83.4%)
112-9
(92.6%)
82-14
(85.4%)
35-13
(72.9%)
17-7
(70.8%)
9-3
(75%)
4-2
(66.7%)
   1391-291
(82.7%)
Iowa   56-26
(68.3%)
57-25
(69.5%)
96-32
(75%)
103-24
(81.1%)
106-25
(80.9%)
107-19
(84.9%)
102-25
(80.3%)
111-18
(86%)
86-16
(84.3%)
44-4
(91.7%)
18-6
(75%)
10-2
(83.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
    901-223
(80.2%)
Kansas    73-25
(74.5%)
77-23
(77%)
96-16
(85.7%)
99-12
(89.2%)
92-20
(82.1%)
103-12
(89.6%)
84-27
(75.7%)
96-14
(87.3%)
91-6
(93.8%)
34-13
(72.3%)
18-6
(75%)
10-2
(83.3%)
6-0
(100%)
   879-176
(83.3%)
Kentucky  70-18
(79.5%)
65-18
(78.3%)
82-21
(79.6%)
80-20
(80%)
78-19
(80.4%)
51-12
(81%)
69-16
(81.2%)
58-9
(86.6%)
80-17
(82.5%)
94-9
(91.3%)
79-19
(80.6%)
89-5
(94.7%)
40-8
(83.3%)
20-4
(83.3%)
10-2
(83.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
  970-198
(83%)
Louisiana   1-0
(100%)
80-24
(76.9%)
69-21
(76.7%)
100-28
(78.1%)
113-21
(84.3%)
108-26
(80.6%)
121-17
(87.7%)
113-23
(83.1%)
123-12
(91.1%)
117-19
(86%)
118-17
(87.4%)
69-8
(89.6%)
48-14
(77.4%)
25-7
(78.1%)
10-6
(62.5%)
4-4
(50%)
 1219-247
(83.2%)
Maine    8-2
(80%)
11-3
(78.6%)
17-8
(68%)
17-8
(68%)
17-6
(73.9%)
18-6
(75%)
19-4
(82.6%)
19-4
(82.6%)
16-3
(84.2%)
13-3
(81.3%)
8-0
(100%)
2-2
(50%)
    165-49
(77.1%)
Maryland   7-3
(70%)
74-22
(77.1%)
69-22
(75.8%)
93-19
(83%)
80-22
(78.4%)
91-18
(83.5%)
92-19
(82.9%)
84-23
(78.5%)
96-14
(87.3%)
87-12
(87.9%)
79-5
(94%)
38-14
(73.1%)
23-4
(85.2%)
5-1
(83.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
  923-199
(82.3%)
Massachusetts    47-23
(67.1%)
74-23
(76.3%)
68-32
(68%)
103-23
(81.7%)
103-13
(88.8%)
95-21
(81.9%)
103-20
(83.7%)
99-28
(78%)
102-23
(81.6%)
90-17
(84.1%)
29-3
(90.6%)
12-4
(75%)
83-29
(74.1%)
4-4
(50%)
  1012-263
(79.4%)
Michigan   111-52
(68.1%)
136-34
(80%)
190-48
(79.8%)
193-49
(79.8%)
200-37
(84.4%)
205-36
(85.1%)
203-33
(86%)
182-36
(83.5%)
185-33
(84.9%)
109-19
(85.2%)
49-15
(76.6%)
26-6
(81.3%)
12-4
(75%)
7-1
(87.5%)
   1808-403
(81.8%)
Minnesota  0-1
(0%)
56-26
(68.3%)
64-17
(79%)
98-37
(72.6%)
105-30
(77.8%)
115-23
(83.3%)
104-27
(79.4%)
117-20
(85.4%)
108-15
(87.8%)
140-29
(82.8%)
40-8
(83.3%)
19-5
(79.2%)
10-2
(83.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
    981-241
(80.3%)
Mississippi 7-1
(87.5%)
17-2
(89.5%)
75-41
(64.7%)
96-23
(80.7%)
103-22
(82.4%)
95-33
(74.2%)
92-30
(75.4%)
96-20
(82.8%)
100-21
(82.6%)
110-17
(86.6%)
113-13
(89.7%)
100-13
(88.5%)
95-15
(86.4%)
52-10
(83.9%)
27-5
(84.4%)
10-4
(71.4%)
3-4
(42.9%)
  1191-274
(81.3%)
Missouri   85-29
(74.6%)
89-25
(78.1%)
107-30
(78.1%)
114-24
(82.6%)
105-26
(80.2%)
105-22
(82.7%)
118-15
(88.7%)
112-21
(84.2%)
5-1
(83.3%)
91-22
(80.5%)
81-15
(84.4%)
38-10
(79.2%)
19-5
(79.2%)
7-5
(58.3%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  1080-252
(81.1%)
Montana   18-6
(75%)
20-3
(87%)
28-3
(90.3%)
25-6
(80.6%)
28-2
(93.3%)
26-5
(83.9%)
26-3
(89.7%)
28-2
(93.3%)
26-5
(83.9%)
14-2
(87.5%)
9-3
(75%)
4-2
(66.7%)
3-0
(100%)
    255-42
(85.9%)
Nebraska   45-12
(78.9%)
41-13
(75.9%)
56-10
(84.8%)
56-9
(86.2%)
57-8
(87.7%)
55-10
(84.6%)
56-10
(84.8%)
57-7
(89.1%)
57-8
(87.7%)
27-4
(87.1%)
14-2
(87.5%)
7-1
(87.5%)
 2-2
(50%)
   530-96
(84.7%)
Nevada 16-3
(84.2%)
31-11
(73.8%)
30-10
(75%)
26-8
(76.5%)
21-11
(65.6%)
27-7
(79.4%)
31-5
(86.1%)
30-3
(90.9%)
20-7
(74.1%)
26-6
(81.3%)
27-4
(87.1%)
23-2
(92%)
18-5
(78.3%)
10-1
(90.9%)
1-1
(50%)
2-2
(50%)
   339-86
(79.8%)
New Hampshire    12-1
(92.3%)
9-6
(60%)
20-1
(95.2%)
27-4
(87.1%)
23-6
(79.3%)
23-6
(79.3%)
20-10
(66.7%)
18-5
(78.3%)
24-5
(82.8%)
14-1
(93.3%)
8-1
(88.9%)
2-2
(50%)
0-1
(0%)
   200-49
(80.3%)
New Jersey   67-31
(68.4%)
97-49
(66.4%)
133-27
(83.1%)
135-29
(82.3%)
129-35
(78.7%)
124-27
(82.1%)
118-28
(80.8%)
130-22
(85.5%)
111-31
(78.2%)
102-29
(77.9%)
37-9
(80.4%)
21-7
(75%)
12-3
(80%)
17-7
(70.8%)
2-0
(100%)
  1235-334
(78.7%)
New Mexico  26-7
(78.8%)
29-10
(74.4%)
33-9
(78.6%)
35-8
(81.4%)
35-6
(85.4%)
31-4
(88.6%)
32-6
(84.2%)
25-10
(71.4%)
33-7
(82.5%)
38-4
(90.5%)
29-5
(85.3%)
13-5
(72.2%)
18-4
(81.8%)
9-1
(90%)
4-1
(80%)
   390-87
(81.8%)
New York   7-3
(70%)
58-35
(62.4%)
115-28
(80.4%)
172-39
(81.5%)
192-57
(77.1%)
196-49
(80%)
197-47
(80.7%)
218-32
(87.2%)
205-43
(82.7%)
179-28
(86.5%)
124-33
(79%)
60-14
(81.1%)
32-6
(84.2%)
12-8
(60%)
3-2
(60%)
  1770-424
(80.7%)
North Carolina 1-0
(100%)
145-41
(78%)
86-30
(74.1%)
157-41
(79.3%)
102-18
(85%)
145-32
(81.9%)
30-6
(83.3%)
169-25
(87.1%)
154-27
(85.1%)
158-27
(85.4%)
160-24
(87%)
157-29
(84.4%)
24-8
(75%)
111-15
(88.1%)
50-14
(78.1%)
28-4
(87.5%)
14-2
(87.5%)
6-2
(75%)
4-0
(100%)
1701-345
(83.1%)
North Dakota  3-1
(75%)
7-1
(87.5%)
17-4
(81%)
20-5
(80%)
18-7
(72%)
17-9
(65.4%)
21-5
(80.8%)
25-1
(96.2%)
18-7
(72%)
17-2
(89.5%)
12-0
(100%)
4-1
(80%)
0-3
(0%)
     179-46
(79.6%)
Ohio  236-80
(74.7%)
236-87
(73.1%)
280-75
(78.9%)
299-59
(83.5%)
297-60
(83.2%)
291-50
(85.3%)
312-46
(87.2%)
308-45
(87.3%)
297-56
(84.1%)
315-45
(87.5%)
193-31
(86.2%)
93-20
(82.3%)
46-10
(82.1%)
24-4
(85.7%)
9-5
(64.3%)
3-4
(42.9%)
  3239-677
(82.7%)
Oklahoma   37-10
(78.7%)
77-27
(74%)
75-29
(72.1%)
58-19
(75.3%)
102-12
(89.5%)
95-21
(81.9%)
106-14
(88.3%)
96-15
(86.5%)
101-14
(87.8%)
100-15
(87%)
105-13
(89%)
49-15
(76.6%)
29-7
(80.6%)
7-3
(70%)
8-5
(61.5%)
3-1
(75%)
 1048-220
(82.6%)
Oregon   1-0
(100%)
37-13
(74%)
42-10
(80.8%)
50-13
(79.4%)
45-19
(70.3%)
55-11
(83.3%)
56-9
(86.2%)
54-11
(83.1%)
55-12
(82.1%)
56-12
(82.4%)
33-3
(91.7%)
18-2
(90%)
5-5
(50%)
3-2
(60%)
   510-122
(80.7%)
Pennsylvania  161-59
(73.2%)
159-64
(71.3%)
212-48
(81.5%)
209-53
(79.8%)
220-51
(81.2%)
229-46
(83.3%)
224-36
(86.2%)
226-36
(86.3%)
234-29
(89%)
207-44
(82.5%)
124-21
(85.5%)
80-18
(81.6%)
35-12
(74.5%)
19-4
(82.6%)
12-5
(70.6%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  2355-528
(81.7%)
Rhode Island   1-1
(50%)
2-0
(100%)
7-6
(53.8%)
10-5
(66.7%)
16-5
(76.2%)
16-4
(80%)
13-5
(72.2%)
16-5
(76.2%)
16-4
(80%)
14-6
(70%)
12-2
(85.7%)
9-1
(90%)
3-2
(60%)
7-4
(63.6%)
   142-50
(74%)
South Carolina 5-2
(71.4%)
73-30
(70.9%)
79-24
(76.7%)
91-26
(77.8%)
55-16
(77.5%)
82-26
(75.9%)
22-1
(95.7%)
72-10
(87.8%)
87-19
(82.1%)
85-11
(88.5%)
94-17
(84.7%)
93-12
(88.6%)
48-6
(88.9%)
65-10
(86.7%)
40-6
(87%)
19-5
(79.2%)
11-1
(91.7%)
5-1
(83.3%)
 1026-223
(82.1%)
South Dakota  7-1
(87.5%)
14-7
(66.7%)
21-3
(87.5%)
22-6
(78.6%)
21-6
(77.8%)
25-3
(89.3%)
20-8
(71.4%)
23-4
(85.2%)
27-1
(96.4%)
20-5
(80%)
16-0
(100%)
5-3
(62.5%)
2-2
(50%)
     223-49
(82%)
Tennessee  94-42
(69.1%)
97-33
(74.6%)
129-36
(78.2%)
137-21
(86.7%)
133-25
(84.2%)
121-17
(87.7%)
139-24
(85.3%)
77-18
(81.1%)
74-15
(83.1%)
137-22
(86.2%)
135-22
(86%)
95-15
(86.4%)
51-9
(85%)
22-8
(73.3%)
9-3
(75%)
8-1
(88.9%)
  1458-311
(82.4%)
Texas   379-145
(72.3%)
376-155
(70.8%)
467-109
(81.1%)
424-99
(81.1%)
456-93
(83.1%)
343-52
(86.8%)
460-76
(85.8%)
462-70
(86.8%)
463-85
(84.5%)
470-74
(86.4%)
455-74
(86%)
300-41
(88%)
150-26
(85.2%)
69-19
(78.4%)
35-9
(79.5%)
16-4
(80%)
6-4
(60%)
5331-1135
(82.4%)
Utah 34-17
(66.7%)
39-12
(76.5%)
44-11
(80%)
42-9
(82.4%)
46-8
(85.2%)
43-10
(81.1%)
41-11
(78.8%)
40-6
(87%)
47-5
(90.4%)
42-8
(84%)
22-3
(88%)
32-4
(88.9%)
14-4
(77.8%)
7-2
(77.8%)
2-1
(66.7%)
    495-111
(81.7%)
Vermont   4-3
(57.1%)
4-2
(66.7%)
11-3
(78.6%)
14-1
(93.3%)
11-3
(78.6%)
10-5
(66.7%)
11-2
(84.6%)
12-3
(80%)
10-2
(83.3%)
3-3
(50%)
3-0
(100%)
      93-27
(77.5%)
Virginia  1-0
(100%)
88-36
(71%)
111-23
(82.8%)
116-32
(78.4%)
130-25
(83.9%)
104-13
(88.9%)
117-21
(84.8%)
124-27
(82.1%)
133-20
(86.9%)
135-25
(84.4%)
137-20
(87.3%)
126-19
(86.9%)
72-14
(83.7%)
43-8
(84.3%)
22-3
(88%)
7-3
(70%)
5-1
(83.3%)
 1471-290
(83.5%)
Washington    74-36
(67.3%)
88-20
(81.5%)
104-32
(76.5%)
115-22
(83.9%)
113-24
(82.5%)
105-29
(78.4%)
119-12
(90.8%)
119-18
(86.9%)
91-22
(80.5%)
7-2
(77.8%)
31-5
(86.1%)
14-6
(70%)
9-1
(90%)
3-2
(60%)
  992-231
(81.1%)
West Virginia   36-11
(76.6%)
43-7
(86%)
44-7
(86.3%)
43-6
(87.8%)
30-10
(75%)
40-11
(78.4%)
40-8
(83.3%)
43-10
(81.1%)
46-6
(88.5%)
32-15
(68.1%)
35-10
(77.8%)
 31-1
(96.9%)
15-1
(93.8%)
5-3
(62.5%)
4-0
(100%)
 487-106
(82.1%)
Wisconsin  89-28
(76.1%)
83-28
(74.8%)
143-21
(87.2%)
132-31
(81%)
139-23
(85.8%)
139-23
(85.8%)
140-28
(83.3%)
129-30
(81.1%)
142-22
(86.6%)
94-19
(83.2%)
48-8
(85.7%)
17-11
(60.7%)
9-5
(64.3%)
4-3
(57.1%)
    1308-280
(82.4%)
Wyoming   9-3
(75%)
15-3
(83.3%)
11-6
(64.7%)
16-3
(84.2%)
15-3
(83.3%)
12-4
(75%)
17-2
(89.5%)
15-3
(83.3%)
18-1
(94.7%)
11-1
(91.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
3-0
(100%)
     146-31
(82.5%)
Prep Schools   2-2
(50%)
8-2
(80%)
15-4
(78.9%)
24-8
(75%)
26-4
(86.7%)
24-6
(80%)
25-7
(78.1%)
24-8
(75%)
23-8
(74.2%)
26-6
(81.3%)
18-6
(75%)
1-0
(100%)
     216-61
(78%)
 
NATIONAL10-1
(90.9%)
213-89
(70.5%)
1825-628
(74.4%)
3183-1106
(74.2%)
4171-1217
(77.4%)
4673-1139
(80.4%)
4952-1123
(81.5%)
4581-961
(82.7%)
5086-957
(84.2%)
4980-933
(84.2%)
5283-914
(85.3%)
5233-879
(85.6%)
4405-810
(84.5%)
2875-583
(83.1%)
1909-398
(82.7%)
979-249
(79.7%)
564-190
(74.8%)
228-75
(75.2%)
66-20
(76.7%)
16-6
(72.7%)
55232-12278
(81.8%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  70.3%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)

out-of-state: 80.2% (in 1340 games)

playoffs: 81.8% (in 8346 games) [regular season: 81.8%]